Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 11?
17°C or higher 54%
7°C or below 53%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
53%
8°C
19%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
26%
12°C
32%
13°C
25%
14°C
22%
15°C
12%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
54%
17°C or higher 54%
7°C or below 53%
9°C 39%
10°C 39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
53%
8°C
$0 Обс.
19%
9°C
$0 Обс.
39%
10°C
$0 Обс.
39%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
32%
13°C
$0 Обс.
25%
14°C
$0 Обс.
22%
15°C
$0 Обс.
12%
16°C
$0 Обс.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Toronto's September 11 low will likely fall between 12–15°C under clear skies and light northwest winds, favoring radiational cooling overnight after a frontal passage. This setup supports the closely matched market probabilities around 12°C and higher bins, as ensemble guidance shows modest spread in minimum temperatures due to variations in cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 14.6°C provide context, while the absence of significant cold advection keeps odds for sub-10°C outcomes low. Traders are weighting official NHC/NOAA-style guidance and model consensus, with resolution hinging on the precise overnight minimum recorded by Environment Canada stations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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