Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10, 2026, indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 18°C and 20°C under persistent cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that advect cooler marine air from the Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer spring days, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C at 45.5% and 20°C at 26.0%. Early morning readings near 14–15°C and hourly peaks projected around midday support this narrow range, with historical September averages near 18–19°C providing additional context. Traders appear to weigh official station data resolution criteria heavily, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final maximum within the 18–20°C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
19°C 46%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
17°C 6%
$37,311 Обс.
$37,311 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
6%
18°C
22%
19°C
46%
20°C
26%
21°C
5%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 46%
20°C 26%
18°C 22%
17°C 6%
$37,311 Обс.
$37,311 Обс.
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$5,651 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$5,270 Обс.
1%
16°C
$3,616 Обс.
2%
17°C
$3,987 Обс.
6%
18°C
$2,394 Обс.
22%
19°C
$5,058 Обс.
46%
20°C
$4,974 Обс.
26%
21°C
$3,529 Обс.
5%
22°C
$925 Обс.
1%
23°C
$262 Обс.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,646 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10, 2026, indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 18°C and 20°C under persistent cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that advect cooler marine air from the Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer spring days, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C at 45.5% and 20°C at 26.0%. Early morning readings near 14–15°C and hourly peaks projected around midday support this narrow range, with historical September averages near 18–19°C providing additional context. Traders appear to weigh official station data resolution criteria heavily, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final maximum within the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$37,311Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10, 2026, indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 18°C and 20°C under persistent cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that advect cooler marine air from the Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer spring days, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C at 45.5% and 20°C at 26.0%. Early morning readings near 14–15°C and hourly peaks projected around midday support this narrow range, with historical September averages near 18–19°C providing additional context. Traders appear to weigh official station data resolution criteria heavily, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final maximum within the 18–20°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$37,311Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Cape Town on September 10, 2026, indicate a maximum temperature most likely between 18°C and 20°C under persistent cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds that advect cooler marine air from the Atlantic. These conditions limit daytime heating compared to clearer spring days, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities for 19°C at 45.5% and 20°C at 26.0%. Early morning readings near 14–15°C and hourly peaks projected around midday support this narrow range, with historical September averages near 18–19°C providing additional context. Traders appear to weigh official station data resolution criteria heavily, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final maximum within the 18–20°C band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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