**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 11 point to a high near 80°F in Central Park under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds, following a period of warmer, humid conditions and scattered showers on the 9th–10th.** This aligns with model consensus showing daytime maxima of 79–81°F after morning clearing, placing the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning. Northwest flow and modest dew points limit afternoon heating compared to recent days, while historical September 11 averages near 78°F provide context for the slight positive anomaly. Minor forecast spread across guidance keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges, with markets reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects ahead of the next data updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on September 11?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 11?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 26%
82-83°F 20%
76-77°F 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
69°F or below
$20 Обс.
<1%
70-71°F
$20 Обс.
<1%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
2%
74-75°F
$49 Обс.
2%
76-77°F
$186 Обс.
6%
78-79°F
$477 Обс.
26%
80-81°F
$287 Обс.
48%
82-83°F
$358 Обс.
20%
84-85°F
$5 Обс.
3%
86-87°F
$24 Обс.
2%
88°F or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 11 point to a high near 80°F in Central Park under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds, following a period of warmer, humid conditions and scattered showers on the 9th–10th.** This aligns with model consensus showing daytime maxima of 79–81°F after morning clearing, placing the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning. Northwest flow and modest dew points limit afternoon heating compared to recent days, while historical September 11 averages near 78°F provide context for the slight positive anomaly. Minor forecast spread across guidance keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges, with markets reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects ahead of the next data updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,425Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 11 point to a high near 80°F in Central Park under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds, following a period of warmer, humid conditions and scattered showers on the 9th–10th.** This aligns with model consensus showing daytime maxima of 79–81°F after morning clearing, placing the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning. Northwest flow and modest dew points limit afternoon heating compared to recent days, while historical September 11 averages near 78°F provide context for the slight positive anomaly. Minor forecast spread across guidance keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges, with markets reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects ahead of the next data updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,425Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for September 11 point to a high near 80°F in Central Park under mostly sunny skies with northwest winds, following a period of warmer, humid conditions and scattered showers on the 9th–10th.** This aligns with model consensus showing daytime maxima of 79–81°F after morning clearing, placing the 80–81°F bin at the center of trader positioning. Northwest flow and modest dew points limit afternoon heating compared to recent days, while historical September 11 averages near 78°F provide context for the slight positive anomaly. Minor forecast spread across guidance keeps secondary probability on the 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges, with markets reflecting uncertainty in exact peak timing and local microclimate effects ahead of the next data updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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