Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus among numerical weather models supported a daily maximum near 78–79°F at Chicago O’Hare on September 9, aligning with the climatological normal of 78°F and recent steering patterns that limited further warming. Light winds, partial cloud cover, and a modest dew-point depression kept surface heating in check despite the late-summer sun angle. The 100 % market-implied probability on the 78–79 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observations and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a completed diurnal cycle. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model bias or station-specific measurement revision exceeding 1–2 °F, scenarios that become improbable once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 9?
78-79°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$38,415 Обс.
$38,415 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
100%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$38,415 Обс.
$38,415 Обс.
Sep 9, 2026
75°F or below
$3,395 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$2,444 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$11,270 Обс.
100%
80-81°F
$8,719 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$4,072 Обс.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,618 Обс.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,361 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$381 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$488 Обс.
<1%
92-93°F
$488 Обс.
<1%
94°F or higher
$198 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus among numerical weather models supported a daily maximum near 78–79°F at Chicago O’Hare on September 9, aligning with the climatological normal of 78°F and recent steering patterns that limited further warming. Light winds, partial cloud cover, and a modest dew-point depression kept surface heating in check despite the late-summer sun angle. The 100 % market-implied probability on the 78–79 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observations and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a completed diurnal cycle. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model bias or station-specific measurement revision exceeding 1–2 °F, scenarios that become improbable once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,415Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus among numerical weather models supported a daily maximum near 78–79°F at Chicago O’Hare on September 9, aligning with the climatological normal of 78°F and recent steering patterns that limited further warming. Light winds, partial cloud cover, and a modest dew-point depression kept surface heating in check despite the late-summer sun angle. The 100 % market-implied probability on the 78–79 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observations and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a completed diurnal cycle. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model bias or station-specific measurement revision exceeding 1–2 °F, scenarios that become improbable once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$38,415Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus among numerical weather models supported a daily maximum near 78–79°F at Chicago O’Hare on September 9, aligning with the climatological normal of 78°F and recent steering patterns that limited further warming. Light winds, partial cloud cover, and a modest dew-point depression kept surface heating in check despite the late-summer sun angle. The 100 % market-implied probability on the 78–79 °F bin reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observations and the narrow uncertainty range typical for a completed diurnal cycle. A realistic challenge would require a late-day model bias or station-specific measurement revision exceeding 1–2 °F, scenarios that become improbable once preliminary climatological reports are issued.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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