Recent July 2026 Core PCE YoY data held steady at 3.3%, matching June and aligning with consensus, amid 0.2% monthly gains that reinforced sticky underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target. This stability, following a 3.5% May print, has anchored trader sentiment for the August release scheduled September 30, with market-implied odds concentrating on 3.2% (35.5%) and 3.3% (25.5%) outcomes. Broader factors include resilient consumer spending, service-sector price pressures, and mixed signals from other inflation gauges, creating a narrow range of probable results. The September FOMC meeting adds context, as persistent readings near 3.3% could sustain elevated rate expectations while any downside surprise might ease them.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.2% 36%
3.3% 19%
3.1% 18%
3.4% 12%
$14,853 Обс.
$14,853 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
≤3.0%
8%
3.1%
18%
3.2%
36%
3.3%
25%
3.4%
12%
3.5%
6%
3.6%+
4%
3.2% 36%
3.3% 19%
3.1% 18%
3.4% 12%
$14,853 Обс.
$14,853 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
≤3.0%
$964 Обс.
8%
3.1%
$5,603 Обс.
18%
3.2%
$4,052 Обс.
36%
3.3%
$574 Обс.
25%
3.4%
$1,342 Обс.
12%
3.5%
$1,431 Обс.
6%
3.6%+
$885 Обс.
4%
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 Core PCE YoY data held steady at 3.3%, matching June and aligning with consensus, amid 0.2% monthly gains that reinforced sticky underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target. This stability, following a 3.5% May print, has anchored trader sentiment for the August release scheduled September 30, with market-implied odds concentrating on 3.2% (35.5%) and 3.3% (25.5%) outcomes. Broader factors include resilient consumer spending, service-sector price pressures, and mixed signals from other inflation gauges, creating a narrow range of probable results. The September FOMC meeting adds context, as persistent readings near 3.3% could sustain elevated rate expectations while any downside surprise might ease them.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$14,853Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 Core PCE YoY data held steady at 3.3%, matching June and aligning with consensus, amid 0.2% monthly gains that reinforced sticky underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target. This stability, following a 3.5% May print, has anchored trader sentiment for the August release scheduled September 30, with market-implied odds concentrating on 3.2% (35.5%) and 3.3% (25.5%) outcomes. Broader factors include resilient consumer spending, service-sector price pressures, and mixed signals from other inflation gauges, creating a narrow range of probable results. The September FOMC meeting adds context, as persistent readings near 3.3% could sustain elevated rate expectations while any downside surprise might ease them.
This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for August 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on September 30, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.7%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$14,853Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 3:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 Core PCE YoY data held steady at 3.3%, matching June and aligning with consensus, amid 0.2% monthly gains that reinforced sticky underlying inflation above the Fed’s 2% target. This stability, following a 3.5% May print, has anchored trader sentiment for the August release scheduled September 30, with market-implied odds concentrating on 3.2% (35.5%) and 3.3% (25.5%) outcomes. Broader factors include resilient consumer spending, service-sector price pressures, and mixed signals from other inflation gauges, creating a narrow range of probable results. The September FOMC meeting adds context, as persistent readings near 3.3% could sustain elevated rate expectations while any downside surprise might ease them.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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