Recent monthly inflation prints near 2% and Central Bank REM surveys anchoring 2026 year-end expectations around 30% have kept the two leading Polymarket bands nearly tied, with 30.0-34.9% holding a slim 51.7% implied probability. Tight fiscal surpluses, a managed peso float, and subdued underlying core measures support further disinflation, yet incomplete relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from Middle East tensions continue to add inertia. Traders are watching whether monthly rates sustain below 2% through year-end or reaccelerate, alongside any shifts in reserve accumulation or regulated-price resets that could tip the outcome between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено30.0-34.9% 52.0%
25-29.9% 46%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.3%
$45,889 Обс.
$45,889 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
1%
30.0-34.9% 52.0%
25-29.9% 46%
<20% 1.9%
45%+ 1.3%
$45,889 Обс.
$45,889 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,653 Обс.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,231 Обс.
1%
25-29.9%
$13,669 Обс.
46%
30.0-34.9%
$13,795 Обс.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,531 Обс.
1%
40-44.9%
$3,564 Обс.
1%
45%+
$3,445 Обс.
1%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 2% and Central Bank REM surveys anchoring 2026 year-end expectations around 30% have kept the two leading Polymarket bands nearly tied, with 30.0-34.9% holding a slim 51.7% implied probability. Tight fiscal surpluses, a managed peso float, and subdued underlying core measures support further disinflation, yet incomplete relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from Middle East tensions continue to add inertia. Traders are watching whether monthly rates sustain below 2% through year-end or reaccelerate, alongside any shifts in reserve accumulation or regulated-price resets that could tip the outcome between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% ranges.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$45,889Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 2% and Central Bank REM surveys anchoring 2026 year-end expectations around 30% have kept the two leading Polymarket bands nearly tied, with 30.0-34.9% holding a slim 51.7% implied probability. Tight fiscal surpluses, a managed peso float, and subdued underlying core measures support further disinflation, yet incomplete relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from Middle East tensions continue to add inertia. Traders are watching whether monthly rates sustain below 2% through year-end or reaccelerate, alongside any shifts in reserve accumulation or regulated-price resets that could tip the outcome between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% ranges.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$45,889Дата завершення
Jan 10, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints near 2% and Central Bank REM surveys anchoring 2026 year-end expectations around 30% have kept the two leading Polymarket bands nearly tied, with 30.0-34.9% holding a slim 51.7% implied probability. Tight fiscal surpluses, a managed peso float, and subdued underlying core measures support further disinflation, yet incomplete relative-price adjustments and earlier energy-price shocks from Middle East tensions continue to add inertia. Traders are watching whether monthly rates sustain below 2% through year-end or reaccelerate, alongside any shifts in reserve accumulation or regulated-price resets that could tip the outcome between the 25-29.9% and 30.0-34.9% ranges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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