Recent polls leading into Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election showed the CDU falling to roughly 20 percent support, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, amid low coalition satisfaction and voter focus on housing affordability. The Linke surged ahead at 21–23 percent while AfD reached 17–18 percent and the Greens and SPD trailed, creating a tight five-party race that compresses CDU seat projections under personalized proportional representation with a 5 percent threshold. Latest September surveys and seat models placed the CDU in the low-to-mid 30s range, producing the market’s emphasis on the 30–34 and 35–39 bands as the highest-probability outcomes. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any overhang mandates that could shift totals by a few seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว25-29 4.3%
45+ 2.5%
40-44 1.5%
<25 <1%
$71,147 ปริมาณ
$71,147 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<25
1%
25-29
4%
30-34
48%
35-39
37%
40-44
2%
45+
2%
25-29 4.3%
45+ 2.5%
40-44 1.5%
<25 <1%
$71,147 ปริมาณ
$71,147 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<25
$2,445 ปริมาณ
1%
25-29
$8,612 ปริมาณ
4%
30-34
$10,579 ปริมาณ
48%
35-39
$6,776 ปริมาณ
37%
40-44
$7,266 ปริมาณ
2%
45+
$35,468 ปริมาณ
2%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls leading into Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election showed the CDU falling to roughly 20 percent support, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, amid low coalition satisfaction and voter focus on housing affordability. The Linke surged ahead at 21–23 percent while AfD reached 17–18 percent and the Greens and SPD trailed, creating a tight five-party race that compresses CDU seat projections under personalized proportional representation with a 5 percent threshold. Latest September surveys and seat models placed the CDU in the low-to-mid 30s range, producing the market’s emphasis on the 30–34 and 35–39 bands as the highest-probability outcomes. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any overhang mandates that could shift totals by a few seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls leading into Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election showed the CDU falling to roughly 20 percent support, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, amid low coalition satisfaction and voter focus on housing affordability. The Linke surged ahead at 21–23 percent while AfD reached 17–18 percent and the Greens and SPD trailed, creating a tight five-party race that compresses CDU seat projections under personalized proportional representation with a 5 percent threshold. Latest September surveys and seat models placed the CDU in the low-to-mid 30s range, producing the market’s emphasis on the 30–34 and 35–39 bands as the highest-probability outcomes. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any overhang mandates that could shift totals by a few seats.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the CDU party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$71,147วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls leading into Berlin’s September 20, 2026 Abgeordnetenhaus election showed the CDU falling to roughly 20 percent support, down sharply from its 28.2 percent result in the 2023 repeat vote, amid low coalition satisfaction and voter focus on housing affordability. The Linke surged ahead at 21–23 percent while AfD reached 17–18 percent and the Greens and SPD trailed, creating a tight five-party race that compresses CDU seat projections under personalized proportional representation with a 5 percent threshold. Latest September surveys and seat models placed the CDU in the low-to-mid 30s range, producing the market’s emphasis on the 30–34 and 35–39 bands as the highest-probability outcomes. Trader pricing reflects uncertainty over final turnout, minor-party thresholds, and any overhang mandates that could shift totals by a few seats.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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