Trader consensus pricing "No" at 97% reflects the structural barriers embedded in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, which requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of Trump-appointed Cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity before Congress could affirm removal by two-thirds majorities in both chambers. Republican majorities and alignment between the president, vice president, and executive branch have prevented any formal process from advancing despite periodic Democratic calls and public commentary on the president's age, public statements, and reported episodes of fatigue during 2026. Historical precedent shows the provision has never produced involuntary removal. Late developments such as a documented medical incapacity certified by administration physicians or an unprecedented bipartisan rupture within the Cabinet and Senate could still alter probabilities before 2027, though both remain remote under current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3% โอกาส
$50,034 ปริมาณ
$50,034 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3% โอกาส
$50,034 ปริมาณ
$50,034 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus pricing "No" at 97% reflects the structural barriers embedded in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, which requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of Trump-appointed Cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity before Congress could affirm removal by two-thirds majorities in both chambers. Republican majorities and alignment between the president, vice president, and executive branch have prevented any formal process from advancing despite periodic Democratic calls and public commentary on the president's age, public statements, and reported episodes of fatigue during 2026. Historical precedent shows the provision has never produced involuntary removal. Late developments such as a documented medical incapacity certified by administration physicians or an unprecedented bipartisan rupture within the Cabinet and Senate could still alter probabilities before 2027, though both remain remote under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,034วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.Trader consensus pricing "No" at 97% reflects the structural barriers embedded in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, which requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of Trump-appointed Cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity before Congress could affirm removal by two-thirds majorities in both chambers. Republican majorities and alignment between the president, vice president, and executive branch have prevented any formal process from advancing despite periodic Democratic calls and public commentary on the president's age, public statements, and reported episodes of fatigue during 2026. Historical precedent shows the provision has never produced involuntary removal. Late developments such as a documented medical incapacity certified by administration physicians or an unprecedented bipartisan rupture within the Cabinet and Senate could still alter probabilities before 2027, though both remain remote under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50,034วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:15 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus pricing "No" at 97% reflects the structural barriers embedded in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment, which requires Vice President JD Vance and a majority of Trump-appointed Cabinet secretaries to declare incapacity before Congress could affirm removal by two-thirds majorities in both chambers. Republican majorities and alignment between the president, vice president, and executive branch have prevented any formal process from advancing despite periodic Democratic calls and public commentary on the president's age, public statements, and reported episodes of fatigue during 2026. Historical precedent shows the provision has never produced involuntary removal. Late developments such as a documented medical incapacity certified by administration physicians or an unprecedented bipartisan rupture within the Cabinet and Senate could still alter probabilities before 2027, though both remain remote under current conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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