Traders assign a 99% implied probability that Donald Trump remains president through September 30, 2026, reflecting the structural stability of the U.S. presidential term and the absence of any recent developments that would trigger succession under the 25th Amendment, resignation, or removal. With roughly three weeks remaining before the resolution date, no credible reports indicate health concerns, cabinet actions, or congressional moves that could alter the timeline. Historical patterns show presidents rarely depart office abruptly absent major crises, and current conditions lack the necessary catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency requiring invocation of succession procedures or an unforeseen scandal prompting resignation, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and lack of supporting indicators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว1% โอกาส
$546,057 ปริมาณ
$546,057 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
1% โอกาส
$546,057 ปริมาณ
$546,057 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99% implied probability that Donald Trump remains president through September 30, 2026, reflecting the structural stability of the U.S. presidential term and the absence of any recent developments that would trigger succession under the 25th Amendment, resignation, or removal. With roughly three weeks remaining before the resolution date, no credible reports indicate health concerns, cabinet actions, or congressional moves that could alter the timeline. Historical patterns show presidents rarely depart office abruptly absent major crises, and current conditions lack the necessary catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency requiring invocation of succession procedures or an unforeseen scandal prompting resignation, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and lack of supporting indicators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$546,057วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99% implied probability that Donald Trump remains president through September 30, 2026, reflecting the structural stability of the U.S. presidential term and the absence of any recent developments that would trigger succession under the 25th Amendment, resignation, or removal. With roughly three weeks remaining before the resolution date, no credible reports indicate health concerns, cabinet actions, or congressional moves that could alter the timeline. Historical patterns show presidents rarely depart office abruptly absent major crises, and current conditions lack the necessary catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency requiring invocation of succession procedures or an unforeseen scandal prompting resignation, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and lack of supporting indicators.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$546,057วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99% implied probability that Donald Trump remains president through September 30, 2026, reflecting the structural stability of the U.S. presidential term and the absence of any recent developments that would trigger succession under the 25th Amendment, resignation, or removal. With roughly three weeks remaining before the resolution date, no credible reports indicate health concerns, cabinet actions, or congressional moves that could alter the timeline. Historical patterns show presidents rarely depart office abruptly absent major crises, and current conditions lack the necessary catalysts. Realistic scenarios that could still shift outcomes include a sudden medical emergency requiring invocation of succession procedures or an unforeseen scandal prompting resignation, though both remain low-probability events given the short window and lack of supporting indicators.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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