Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว38.5–38.9 38%
38.0–38.4 36%
39.0–39.4 12%
37.5–37.9 12%
<37.5
5%
37.5–37.9
12%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0–39.4
14%
39.5+
8%
38.5–38.9 38%
38.0–38.4 36%
39.0–39.4 12%
37.5–37.9 12%
<37.5
5%
37.5–37.9
12%
38.0–38.4
36%
38.5–38.9
38%
39.0–39.4
14%
39.5+
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent national polls place President Trump’s job approval in the 37–40 percent range, with September averages from multiple aggregators near 38 percent. This positioning reflects steady erosion tied to public concerns over the Iran conflict’s duration and costs, alongside dissatisfaction with inflation, tariffs, and broader economic conditions. Polling from Marquette, Reuters/Ipsos, and others shows modest but consistent declines since earlier in the term, including softening support among independents and some conservative voters. With only days remaining before the September 25 measurement window and no major new catalysts emerging, trader probabilities cluster tightly around the 38–39 percent buckets, consistent with the narrow band of recent survey results.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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