Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in Manhattan federal court after a January 2026 military operation removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to Brooklyn detention. His June 2027 trial date follows ongoing pretrial motions, including a September 2026 filing seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege long-running conspiracy involvement with potential life sentences upon conviction, while defense arguments center on jurisdictional challenges and the circumstances of his capture. These unresolved legal steps, combined with possible plea negotiations or appeals, sustain close trader pricing between acquittal or dismissal outcomes and extended incarceration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วไม่มีโทษจำคุก 47%
60+ 38%
20–40 9.3%
<20 4.0%
$728,004 ปริมาณ
$728,004 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
47%
<20
4%
20–40
9%
40–60
1%
60+
38%
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก 47%
60+ 38%
20–40 9.3%
<20 4.0%
$728,004 ปริมาณ
$728,004 ปริมาณ
ไม่มีโทษจำคุก
47%
<20
4%
20–40
9%
40–60
1%
60+
38%
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Nicolás Maduro faces U.S. drug trafficking and narco-terrorism charges in Manhattan federal court after a January 2026 military operation removed him from power in Venezuela and transferred him to Brooklyn detention. His June 2027 trial date follows ongoing pretrial motions, including a September 2026 filing seeking dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with oral arguments scheduled for November. Prosecutors allege long-running conspiracy involvement with potential life sentences upon conviction, while defense arguments center on jurisdictional challenges and the circumstances of his capture. These unresolved legal steps, combined with possible plea negotiations or appeals, sustain close trader pricing between acquittal or dismissal outcomes and extended incarceration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย