Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong performance in the May 2026 primary where she defeated a challenger by a wide margin, and significant fundraising advantages over Republican James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings from groups such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election results, and limited competitive pressure in this Pittsburgh-area district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major national political events, or unexpected scandals in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
$24,171 ปริมาณ
$24,171 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Summer Lee (D)
97%
James Hayes (R)
3%
$24,171 ปริมาณ
$24,171 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Summer Lee (D)
$18,859 ปริมาณ
97%
James Hayes (R)
$5,312 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong performance in the May 2026 primary where she defeated a challenger by a wide margin, and significant fundraising advantages over Republican James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings from groups such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election results, and limited competitive pressure in this Pittsburgh-area district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major national political events, or unexpected scandals in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,171วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong performance in the May 2026 primary where she defeated a challenger by a wide margin, and significant fundraising advantages over Republican James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings from groups such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election results, and limited competitive pressure in this Pittsburgh-area district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major national political events, or unexpected scandals in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,171วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Summer Lee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 12th Congressional District due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, her strong performance in the May 2026 primary where she defeated a challenger by a wide margin, and significant fundraising advantages over Republican James Hayes. Nonpartisan ratings from groups such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns, past election results, and limited competitive pressure in this Pittsburgh-area district. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate health issues, major national political events, or unexpected scandals in the weeks before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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