Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a crowded June 2026 primary, defeating multiple established local candidates with support from progressive national figures and heavy super PAC spending. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a more than two-to-one registration advantage and which favored Kamala Harris by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, projecting Hamawy to win by roughly 29 points. Trader consensus around 94 percent for Hamawy reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising by Republican Gregg Mele. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts unlikely before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$24,473 ปริมาณ
$24,473 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
5%
$24,473 ปริมาณ
$24,473 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Adam Hamawy (D)
$15,864 ปริมาณ
95%
Gregg Mele (R)
$8,609 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a crowded June 2026 primary, defeating multiple established local candidates with support from progressive national figures and heavy super PAC spending. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a more than two-to-one registration advantage and which favored Kamala Harris by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, projecting Hamawy to win by roughly 29 points. Trader consensus around 94 percent for Hamawy reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising by Republican Gregg Mele. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,473วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a crowded June 2026 primary, defeating multiple established local candidates with support from progressive national figures and heavy super PAC spending. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a more than two-to-one registration advantage and which favored Kamala Harris by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, projecting Hamawy to win by roughly 29 points. Trader consensus around 94 percent for Hamawy reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising by Republican Gregg Mele. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts unlikely before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,473วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamawy secured the Democratic nomination for New Jersey’s 12th congressional district in a crowded June 2026 primary, defeating multiple established local candidates with support from progressive national figures and heavy super PAC spending. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman, sits in a district where Democrats hold a more than two-to-one registration advantage and which favored Kamala Harris by double digits in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, projecting Hamawy to win by roughly 29 points. Trader consensus around 94 percent for Hamawy reflects these structural fundamentals and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising by Republican Gregg Mele. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the gap, though the district’s partisan composition makes such shifts unlikely before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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