**McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall that left him unconscious, followed by pneumonia treatment and intensive physical therapy, remains the central driver of the 65.5% Yes probability.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican has missed more than 60 Senate roll-call votes since mid-June while hospitalized and then in rehabilitation, with his office confirming continued home-based therapy after an August 6 discharge. Senate colleagues including Rep. James Comer and Sen. Rand Paul have cited staff communications indicating a goal of returning when the chamber reconvenes September 14, potentially for votes on the expiring farm bill and other measures before September 30. The absence of an official schedule or medical clearance from McConnell’s office introduces uncertainty around his mobility and stamina, particularly given his history of polio-related issues, producing the current trader assessment of a modest likelihood he casts at least one floor vote in the remaining session window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว66% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
66% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall that left him unconscious, followed by pneumonia treatment and intensive physical therapy, remains the central driver of the 65.5% Yes probability.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican has missed more than 60 Senate roll-call votes since mid-June while hospitalized and then in rehabilitation, with his office confirming continued home-based therapy after an August 6 discharge. Senate colleagues including Rep. James Comer and Sen. Rand Paul have cited staff communications indicating a goal of returning when the chamber reconvenes September 14, potentially for votes on the expiring farm bill and other measures before September 30. The absence of an official schedule or medical clearance from McConnell’s office introduces uncertainty around his mobility and stamina, particularly given his history of polio-related issues, producing the current trader assessment of a modest likelihood he casts at least one floor vote in the remaining session window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,754วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall that left him unconscious, followed by pneumonia treatment and intensive physical therapy, remains the central driver of the 65.5% Yes probability.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican has missed more than 60 Senate roll-call votes since mid-June while hospitalized and then in rehabilitation, with his office confirming continued home-based therapy after an August 6 discharge. Senate colleagues including Rep. James Comer and Sen. Rand Paul have cited staff communications indicating a goal of returning when the chamber reconvenes September 14, potentially for votes on the expiring farm bill and other measures before September 30. The absence of an official schedule or medical clearance from McConnell’s office introduces uncertainty around his mobility and stamina, particularly given his history of polio-related issues, producing the current trader assessment of a modest likelihood he casts at least one floor vote in the remaining session window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,754วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**McConnell’s prolonged recovery from a June 2026 fall that left him unconscious, followed by pneumonia treatment and intensive physical therapy, remains the central driver of the 65.5% Yes probability.** The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican has missed more than 60 Senate roll-call votes since mid-June while hospitalized and then in rehabilitation, with his office confirming continued home-based therapy after an August 6 discharge. Senate colleagues including Rep. James Comer and Sen. Rand Paul have cited staff communications indicating a goal of returning when the chamber reconvenes September 14, potentially for votes on the expiring farm bill and other measures before September 30. The absence of an official schedule or medical clearance from McConnell’s office introduces uncertainty around his mobility and stamina, particularly given his history of polio-related issues, producing the current trader assessment of a modest likelihood he casts at least one floor vote in the remaining session window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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