Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created when incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead of reelection. Chris McGowan secured the Republican nomination unopposed after a Trump endorsement and has maintained a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in a three-way primary. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Republican turnout in November, a national political environment favoring Democrats, or late-cycle developments that elevate Dawson's profile in rural counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIA-04 House Election Winner
IA-04 House Election Winner
$34,894 ปริมาณ
$34,894 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
94%
David Dawson (D)
7%
$34,894 ปริมาณ
$34,894 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Chris McGowan (R)
$21,738 ปริมาณ
94%
David Dawson (D)
$13,156 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created when incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead of reelection. Chris McGowan secured the Republican nomination unopposed after a Trump endorsement and has maintained a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in a three-way primary. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Republican turnout in November, a national political environment favoring Democrats, or late-cycle developments that elevate Dawson's profile in rural counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,894วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created when incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead of reelection. Chris McGowan secured the Republican nomination unopposed after a Trump endorsement and has maintained a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in a three-way primary. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Republican turnout in November, a national political environment favoring Democrats, or late-cycle developments that elevate Dawson's profile in rural counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,894วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's 4th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the open-seat contest created when incumbent Randy Feenstra pursued the governorship instead of reelection. Chris McGowan secured the Republican nomination unopposed after a Trump endorsement and has maintained a substantial fundraising edge over Democrat Dave Dawson, who prevailed in a three-way primary. Nonpartisan forecasters across Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as safe or solid Republican. Trader consensus reflects the district's historical voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low Republican turnout in November, a national political environment favoring Democrats, or late-cycle developments that elevate Dawson's profile in rural counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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