Ken Paxton holds a 60% implied probability of carrying Denton County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race against James Talarico at 40.5%, reflecting the county’s Republican leanings and Paxton’s dominant primary performance there. Paxton defeated incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 27 points in the May Republican runoff, winning the vast majority of Denton precincts after securing Trump’s endorsement and consolidating GOP support statewide. Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has outraised Paxton significantly and leads or ties in some recent statewide polls by appealing to independents and moderates, yet Denton County’s suburban demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee. Minor candidates and “other” options trade near even odds amid low expected vote shares. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts from turnout or national developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
63%
James Talarico (D)
41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Ken Paxton (R)
$370 ปริมาณ
63%
James Talarico (D)
$374 ปริมาณ
41%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.Ken Paxton holds a 60% implied probability of carrying Denton County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race against James Talarico at 40.5%, reflecting the county’s Republican leanings and Paxton’s dominant primary performance there. Paxton defeated incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 27 points in the May Republican runoff, winning the vast majority of Denton precincts after securing Trump’s endorsement and consolidating GOP support statewide. Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has outraised Paxton significantly and leads or ties in some recent statewide polls by appealing to independents and moderates, yet Denton County’s suburban demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee. Minor candidates and “other” options trade near even odds amid low expected vote shares. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts from turnout or national developments.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$744วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.Ken Paxton holds a 60% implied probability of carrying Denton County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race against James Talarico at 40.5%, reflecting the county’s Republican leanings and Paxton’s dominant primary performance there. Paxton defeated incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 27 points in the May Republican runoff, winning the vast majority of Denton precincts after securing Trump’s endorsement and consolidating GOP support statewide. Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has outraised Paxton significantly and leads or ties in some recent statewide polls by appealing to independents and moderates, yet Denton County’s suburban demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee. Minor candidates and “other” options trade near even odds amid low expected vote shares. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts from turnout or national developments.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Denton County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Denton County.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$744วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:20 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47de9d...Ken Paxton holds a 60% implied probability of carrying Denton County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate race against James Talarico at 40.5%, reflecting the county’s Republican leanings and Paxton’s dominant primary performance there. Paxton defeated incumbent Sen. John Cornyn by 27 points in the May Republican runoff, winning the vast majority of Denton precincts after securing Trump’s endorsement and consolidating GOP support statewide. Talarico, the Democratic nominee, has outraised Paxton significantly and leads or ties in some recent statewide polls by appealing to independents and moderates, yet Denton County’s suburban demographics and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee. Minor candidates and “other” options trade near even odds amid low expected vote shares. The November general election timeline leaves room for late shifts from turnout or national developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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