Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republicans, giving GOP nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge in the November general election against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, while Figures advanced unopposed. Recent polling shows a competitive contest, with one Democratic survey from late August finding the candidates tied and another internal poll indicating Figures competitive on an informed ballot. On September 11, Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the rating from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, citing Figures’ incumbency and potential turnout among Black voters. Marques received a National Federation of Independent Business endorsement the same day and emphasized small-business tax relief. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$43,267 ปริมาณ
$43,267 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
68%
Shomari Figures (D)
31%
$43,267 ปริมาณ
$43,267 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$20,650 ปริมาณ
68%
Shomari Figures (D)
$22,618 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republicans, giving GOP nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge in the November general election against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, while Figures advanced unopposed. Recent polling shows a competitive contest, with one Democratic survey from late August finding the candidates tied and another internal poll indicating Figures competitive on an informed ballot. On September 11, Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the rating from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, citing Figures’ incumbency and potential turnout among Black voters. Marques received a National Federation of Independent Business endorsement the same day and emphasized small-business tax relief. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,267วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republicans, giving GOP nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge in the November general election against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, while Figures advanced unopposed. Recent polling shows a competitive contest, with one Democratic survey from late August finding the candidates tied and another internal poll indicating Figures competitive on an informed ballot. On September 11, Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the rating from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, citing Figures’ incumbency and potential turnout among Black voters. Marques received a National Federation of Independent Business endorsement the same day and emphasized small-business tax relief. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,267วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after a Supreme Court ruling shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District toward Republicans, giving GOP nominee Rhett Marques a structural edge in the November general election against incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Sen. Katie Britt, while Figures advanced unopposed. Recent polling shows a competitive contest, with one Democratic survey from late August finding the candidates tied and another internal poll indicating Figures competitive on an informed ballot. On September 11, Sabato’s Crystal Ball moved the rating from Likely Republican to Leans Republican, citing Figures’ incumbency and potential turnout among Black voters. Marques received a National Federation of Independent Business endorsement the same day and emphasized small-business tax relief. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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