Lula leads recent first-round polling aggregates at 39-44% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with all other candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury—polling in the low single digits. This positioning reflects Lula’s incumbency advantage and consistent edge in surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest conducted in mid-September 2026, while Bolsonaro benefits from right-wing consolidation but trails in direct matchups. With the October 4 first round approaching and no candidate near a majority, traders price Lula as the clear favorite to finish first, followed by Bolsonaro, as the fragmented field makes an outright win unlikely and runoff qualification the key near-term outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLula 69%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Zema <1%
$142,217 ปริมาณ
$142,217 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
69%
Flavio Bolsonaro
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Zema
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Lula 69%
Flavio Bolsonaro 32%
Ronaldo Caiado <1%
Zema <1%
$142,217 ปริมาณ
$142,217 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Lula
$63,595 ปริมาณ
69%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$59,516 ปริมาณ
32%
Ronaldo Caiado
$4,126 ปริมาณ
<1%
Zema
$546 ปริมาณ
<1%
Renan Santos
$4,462 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$1,189 ปริมาณ
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$6,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
Clariana Barao
$288 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hertz Dias
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
Samara
$296 ปริมาณ
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$316 ปริมาณ
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$259 ปริมาณ
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads recent first-round polling aggregates at 39-44% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with all other candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury—polling in the low single digits. This positioning reflects Lula’s incumbency advantage and consistent edge in surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest conducted in mid-September 2026, while Bolsonaro benefits from right-wing consolidation but trails in direct matchups. With the October 4 first round approaching and no candidate near a majority, traders price Lula as the clear favorite to finish first, followed by Bolsonaro, as the fragmented field makes an outright win unlikely and runoff qualification the key near-term outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$142,217วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula leads recent first-round polling aggregates at 39-44% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with all other candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury—polling in the low single digits. This positioning reflects Lula’s incumbency advantage and consistent edge in surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest conducted in mid-September 2026, while Bolsonaro benefits from right-wing consolidation but trails in direct matchups. With the October 4 first round approaching and no candidate near a majority, traders price Lula as the clear favorite to finish first, followed by Bolsonaro, as the fragmented field makes an outright win unlikely and runoff qualification the key near-term outcome.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$142,217วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 1:47 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Lula leads recent first-round polling aggregates at 39-44% support, ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro at 34-42%, with all other candidates—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury—polling in the low single digits. This positioning reflects Lula’s incumbency advantage and consistent edge in surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest conducted in mid-September 2026, while Bolsonaro benefits from right-wing consolidation but trails in direct matchups. With the October 4 first round approaching and no candidate near a majority, traders price Lula as the clear favorite to finish first, followed by Bolsonaro, as the fragmented field makes an outright win unlikely and runoff qualification the key near-term outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
ฟลาวิโอ โบลโซนาโร จะจบอันดับที่สองในรอบแรกของการเลือกตั้งประธานาธิบดีบราซิลปี 2026 หรือไม่?
68%
ใช่
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
54%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?
91%
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