Lebanon’s government is advancing a phased disarmament plan for Hezbollah under the US-brokered Trilateral Framework with Israel, beginning with pilot zones south of the Litani River where the Lebanese Armed Forces have cleared some weapons caches and infrastructure. Implementation has progressed unevenly, with LAF operations in designated areas but reports of incomplete verification, Hezbollah’s shift to decentralized guerrilla tactics, and continued smuggling of materiel. Hezbollah leadership has rejected full disarmament without parallel Israeli withdrawals and an end to strikes, while Lebanese officials condition further phases on security guarantees. Cabinet directives target state control of weapons by year-end in some zones, yet the broader timeline remains open-ended amid political resistance and institutional challenges. Ongoing Rome talks and monitoring proposals could influence next steps in the coming months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a
April 30 rises to 4%4%
Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the
Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to
April 30 dips to 0%4%
Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %
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