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icon for Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?
Мир·Ближний Восток

Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?

icon for Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?
Мир·Ближний Восток

Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?

7-8 65%

9-10 24%

11+ 6.0%

<7 3.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

7-8 65%

9-10 24%

11+ 6.0%

<7 3.4%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

<7

$1,057 Объем

3%

7-8

$2,531 Объем

65%

9-10

$116 Объем

24%

11+

$455 Объем

6%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$4,159
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent September 2026 polls for Israel's October 27 Knesset election project United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7 or 8 seats in most surveys, reflecting consistent Ashkenazi Haredi voter support amid bloc competition. Internal party tensions during slate submission, including last-minute factional splits within Agudas Yisrael and Degel HaTorah alignments, have not produced measurable erosion in core backing. Broader pressures on Haredi parties, particularly disputes over military draft exemptions and coalition leverage, limit upside potential while stabilizing the floor near historical turnout levels. Traders price the 7-8 seat range highest as the consensus outcome, with modest room for variance tied to final mobilization and threshold dynamics for smaller lists.

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$4,159
Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Еврейство Торы 6-7% голосов на выборах в Кнессет в 2026 году?

Получит ли Еврейство Торы 6-7% голосов на выборах в Кнессет в 2026 году?

46%
Да
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Список объединённой арабской партии получит 8–9 мест на выборах в Кнессет 2026 года?

36%
Да
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Получит ли Отцма 6-7 мест на выборах в Кнессет 2026 года?

32%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «7-8» с 65%, за ним следует «9-10» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 4, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?» — «7-8» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «9-10» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Израиле: количество мест в UTJ?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.