Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected between four and six seats, reflecting stable but variable Arab-sector support and the party's independent run after adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its list. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am's separation from the Southern Islamic Movement to emphasize a civic platform have shaped its positioning, while petitions seeking disqualification remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. These factors, combined with uncertainty over Arab turnout and the final impact of recent candidate adjustments, sustain the narrow distribution across four to six seats in trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено5 29%
4 28%
6 24.6%
7 14.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
11%
4
28%
5
29%
6
25%
7
15%
8+
5%
5 29%
4 28%
6 24.6%
7 14.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<4
$1,118 Объем
11%
4
$1,827 Объем
28%
5
$1,439 Объем
29%
6
$1,617 Объем
25%
7
$1,127 Объем
15%
8+
$940 Объем
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected between four and six seats, reflecting stable but variable Arab-sector support and the party's independent run after adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its list. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am's separation from the Southern Islamic Movement to emphasize a civic platform have shaped its positioning, while petitions seeking disqualification remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. These factors, combined with uncertainty over Arab turnout and the final impact of recent candidate adjustments, sustain the narrow distribution across four to six seats in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Открытие рынка: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$8,067Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected between four and six seats, reflecting stable but variable Arab-sector support and the party's independent run after adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its list. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am's separation from the Southern Islamic Movement to emphasize a civic platform have shaped its positioning, while petitions seeking disqualification remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. These factors, combined with uncertainty over Arab turnout and the final impact of recent candidate adjustments, sustain the narrow distribution across four to six seats in trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Объем
$8,067Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the October 27 Israeli legislative election shows Ra'am consistently projected between four and six seats, reflecting stable but variable Arab-sector support and the party's independent run after adding former Yesh Atid MK Yoav Segalovitz to its list. A surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List and Ra'am's separation from the Southern Islamic Movement to emphasize a civic platform have shaped its positioning, while petitions seeking disqualification remain pending before the Central Elections Committee. These factors, combined with uncertainty over Arab turnout and the final impact of recent candidate adjustments, sustain the narrow distribution across four to six seats in trader pricing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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