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icon for Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

icon for Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?

$1,367,765 Объем

30 сент. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,367,765 Объем

Polymarket

30 сентября

$9,960 Объем

1%

31 марта

$136 Объем

26%

31 октября

$3,839 Объем

6%

December 31

$512,613 Объем

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have tied any significant redeployment of forces from positions north of the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sole security control in designated zones, rather than fixed timelines. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement established limited pilot zones for phased Israeli pullbacks—one south of the river and a small area to the north—conditioned on Lebanese army performance and third-party verification of cleared infrastructure. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli artillery and air operations continued in southern Lebanon amid statements from IDF leadership that Hezbollah must be fully removed from the area south of the Litani before broader changes. Ongoing strikes and buffer zone maintenance reflect persistent security assessments, while diplomatic follow-up on the trilateral deal remains the primary near-term variable for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Объем
$1,367,765
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli officials have tied any significant redeployment of forces from positions north of the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sole security control in designated zones, rather than fixed timelines. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement established limited pilot zones for phased Israeli pullbacks—one south of the river and a small area to the north—conditioned on Lebanese army performance and third-party verification of cleared infrastructure. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli artillery and air operations continued in southern Lebanon amid statements from IDF leadership that Hezbollah must be fully removed from the area south of the Litani before broader changes. Ongoing strikes and buffer zone maintenance reflect persistent security assessments, while diplomatic follow-up on the trilateral deal remains the primary near-term variable for market resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Объем
$1,367,765
Дата окончания
1 сент. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31 марта» с 26%, за ним следует «December 31» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 26¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $1.4 million с момента запуска рынка Jun 7, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» — «31 марта» с 26%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 26%. Следующий ближайший исход — «December 31» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Израильские войска отступают за реку Литани к...?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.