Israeli officials have tied any significant redeployment of forces from positions north of the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sole security control in designated zones, rather than fixed timelines. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement established limited pilot zones for phased Israeli pullbacks—one south of the river and a small area to the north—conditioned on Lebanese army performance and third-party verification of cleared infrastructure. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli artillery and air operations continued in southern Lebanon amid statements from IDF leadership that Hezbollah must be fully removed from the area south of the Litani before broader changes. Ongoing strikes and buffer zone maintenance reflect persistent security assessments, while diplomatic follow-up on the trilateral deal remains the primary near-term variable for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$1,367,765 Объем
30 сентября
1%
31 марта
26%
31 октября
6%
December 31
15%
$1,367,765 Объем
30 сентября
1%
31 марта
26%
31 октября
6%
December 31
15%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have tied any significant redeployment of forces from positions north of the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and the Lebanese Armed Forces assuming sole security control in designated zones, rather than fixed timelines. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement established limited pilot zones for phased Israeli pullbacks—one south of the river and a small area to the north—conditioned on Lebanese army performance and third-party verification of cleared infrastructure. As of mid-September 2026, Israeli artillery and air operations continued in southern Lebanon amid statements from IDF leadership that Hezbollah must be fully removed from the area south of the Litani before broader changes. Ongoing strikes and buffer zone maintenance reflect persistent security assessments, while diplomatic follow-up on the trilateral deal remains the primary near-term variable for market resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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