National Unity (also known as Blue and White or Unity), the centrist party previously led by Benny Gantz, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4. Recent polling from multiple firms shows the party receiving 0.2–1.3% support or less, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with several surveys explicitly listing it among lists failing to qualify. Party list submissions closed on September 9 without its participation, confirming its absence from the ballot and driving trader consensus toward a sub-0.5% outcome. Late developments such as a reversal of the withdrawal decision, formation of a joint list with another faction, or last-minute legal intervention could theoretically alter the result, though no such moves have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено<0,5% 94.4%
0,5–0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,5%
94%
0,5–0,75%
1%
0,75-1%
1%
1-2%
1%
2%+
<1%
<0,5% 94.4%
0,5–0,75% 1.1%
0,75-1% <1%
1-2% <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 нояб. 2026 г.
<0,5%
$534 Объем
94%
0,5–0,75%
$162 Объем
1%
0,75-1%
$109 Объем
1%
1-2%
$112 Объем
1%
2%+
$176 Объем
<1%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).National Unity (also known as Blue and White or Unity), the centrist party previously led by Benny Gantz, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4. Recent polling from multiple firms shows the party receiving 0.2–1.3% support or less, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with several surveys explicitly listing it among lists failing to qualify. Party list submissions closed on September 9 without its participation, confirming its absence from the ballot and driving trader consensus toward a sub-0.5% outcome. Late developments such as a reversal of the withdrawal decision, formation of a joint list with another faction, or last-minute legal intervention could theoretically alter the result, though no such moves have materialized in the current cycle.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Объем
$1,093Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).National Unity (also known as Blue and White or Unity), the centrist party previously led by Benny Gantz, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4. Recent polling from multiple firms shows the party receiving 0.2–1.3% support or less, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with several surveys explicitly listing it among lists failing to qualify. Party list submissions closed on September 9 without its participation, confirming its absence from the ballot and driving trader consensus toward a sub-0.5% outcome. Late developments such as a reversal of the withdrawal decision, formation of a joint list with another faction, or last-minute legal intervention could theoretically alter the result, though no such moves have materialized in the current cycle.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Unity party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Unity's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Unity passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Unity contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Unity merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Объем
$1,093Дата окончания
27 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 4:27 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...National Unity (also known as Blue and White or Unity), the centrist party previously led by Benny Gantz, withdrew from the October 27, 2026 Knesset election on September 4. Recent polling from multiple firms shows the party receiving 0.2–1.3% support or less, well below the 3.25% electoral threshold, with several surveys explicitly listing it among lists failing to qualify. Party list submissions closed on September 9 without its participation, confirming its absence from the ballot and driving trader consensus toward a sub-0.5% outcome. Late developments such as a reversal of the withdrawal decision, formation of a joint list with another faction, or last-minute legal intervention could theoretically alter the result, though no such moves have materialized in the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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