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icon for Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место

Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место

icon for Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место

Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место

Оливье Фор 47%

Филипп Брун 43%

Сеголен Руаяль 40%

Жером Гедж 39%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Оливье Фор 47%

Филипп Брун 43%

Сеголен Руаяль 40%

Жером Гедж 39%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Оливье Фор

Оливье Фор

$0 Объем

47%

icon for Филипп Брун

Филипп Брун

$0 Объем

43%

icon for Сеголен Руаяль

Сеголен Руаяль

$0 Объем

40%

icon for Жером Гедж

Жером Гедж

$0 Объем

39%

icon for Эммануэль Морель

Эммануэль Морель

$0 Объем

26%

icon for Рафаэль Глюксманн

Рафаэль Глюксманн

$0 Объем

26%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary first round, scheduled for 9-10 October, features a crowded field where trader consensus reflects a tight race for second place amid recent candidate declarations. Olivier Faure, the party’s first secretary, and Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique emerged as early frontrunners after formalizing bids in late August, joined by Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, Ségolène Royal, and others seeking member support in the closed primary process. Internal divisions over the vote format, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debates on strategy have kept the contest competitive without clear separation. Scheduled events such as candidate debates and final parrainage deadlines in September could shift positioning among eligible voters before the electronic ballot.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The 2026 French Socialist Party presidential primary first round, scheduled for 9-10 October, features a crowded field where trader consensus reflects a tight race for second place amid recent candidate declarations. Olivier Faure, the party’s first secretary, and Raphaël Glucksmann of Place Publique emerged as early frontrunners after formalizing bids in late August, joined by Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Emmanuel Maurel, Ségolène Royal, and others seeking member support in the closed primary process. Internal divisions over the vote format, potential inclusion of figures like François Ruffin, and debates on strategy have kept the contest competitive without clear separation. Scheduled events such as candidate debates and final parrainage deadlines in September could shift positioning among eligible voters before the electronic ballot.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the second-greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$0
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:27 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Оливье Фор» с 47%, за ним следует «Филипп Брун» с 43%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 47¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место» — «Оливье Фор» с 47%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 47%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Филипп Брун» с 43%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Праймериз французских социалистов: первый тур 2 место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.