Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда

Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда

icon for Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда

Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда

Оливье Форе 27%

Филипп Брун 27%

Эммануэль Морель 27%

Рафаэль Глюксманн 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Оливье Форе 27%

Филипп Брун 27%

Эммануэль Морель 27%

Рафаэль Глюксманн 26%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Оливье Форе

Оливье Форе

$0 Объем

27%

icon for Филипп Брун

Филипп Брун

$0 Объем

27%

icon for Эммануэль Морель

Эммануэль Морель

$0 Объем

27%

icon for Рафаэль Глюксманн

Рафаэль Глюксманн

$0 Объем

26%

icon for Жером Гедж

Жером Гедж

$0 Объем

26%

icon for Сеголен Руаяль

Сеголен Руаяль

$19 Объем

19%

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested French Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential nominee features multiple declared candidates including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Raphaël Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, with trader consensus reflecting a tight first-round field ahead of the October 9-10 vote. Recent developments include the August agreement between the Parti socialiste and Place publique on electronic voting rules, a 15-euro participation fee, and candidate declaration deadlines through mid-September, alongside internal tensions over potential broader inclusion and debate formats. These factors sustain competitive positioning among the leading contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated broad support within the social-democratic electorate. Scheduled events such as final candidate validations and any late endorsements could shift momentum before ballots open.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$19
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closely contested French Socialist primary for the 2027 presidential nominee features multiple declared candidates including Philippe Brun, Jérôme Guedj, Raphaël Glucksmann, Olivier Faure, Emmanuel Maurel, and Ségolène Royal, with trader consensus reflecting a tight first-round field ahead of the October 9-10 vote. Recent developments include the August agreement between the Parti socialiste and Place publique on electronic voting rules, a 15-euro participation fee, and candidate declaration deadlines through mid-September, alongside internal tensions over potential broader inclusion and debate formats. These factors sustain competitive positioning among the leading contenders, as no single candidate has consolidated broad support within the social-democratic electorate. Scheduled events such as final candidate validations and any late endorsements could shift momentum before ballots open.

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary.

If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other".

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026. This market will resolve to the candidate who receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of the primary. If the first round is cancelled or does not take place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Paris time, this market will resolve to "Other". Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of votes received in the first round, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If two or more candidates are tied on votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed candidate names. This market will resolve to the candidate who occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Объем
$19
Дата окончания
10 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 6:26 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Оливье Форе» с 27%, за ним следует «Филипп Брун» с 27%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 27¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Sep 9, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда» — «Оливье Форе» с 27%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Филипп Брун» с 27%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Праймериз французских социалистов: победитель первого раунда» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.