The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for October 8, 2026, features five candidates from villages across Tonga’s remote Niuas islands after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery charges involving fish distribution. Nominations closed in early September with Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana registered. Trader consensus shows a tightly contested field with no dominant frontrunner, reflecting the small electorate’s village-based dynamics, limited recent polling data, and absence of major campaign developments since the writ was issued. The outcome will hinge on localized voter preferences ahead of official results from the Tonga Electoral Commission.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАминиаси Тонга Пау'у Танкимана 42%
'Айсаке Хоататау Финау 41%
Ситивени Селуи 41%
Сионе Туифио Хуи 40%
Аминиаси Тонга Пау'у Танкимана
42%
'Айсаке Хоататау Финау
41%
Ситивени Селуи
41%
Сионе Туифио Хуи
40%
Паэа 'и Ваха Филимоехала
29%
Аминиаси Тонга Пау'у Танкимана 42%
'Айсаке Хоататау Финау 41%
Ситивени Селуи 41%
Сионе Туифио Хуи 40%
Аминиаси Тонга Пау'у Танкимана
42%
'Айсаке Хоататау Финау
41%
Ситивени Селуи
41%
Сионе Туифио Хуи
40%
Паэа 'и Ваха Филимоехала
29%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.
If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Ongo Niua 17 by-election, set for October 8, 2026, features five candidates from villages across Tonga’s remote Niuas islands after the Supreme Court voided Lataifaingata’a Tangimana’s 2025 win on bribery charges involving fish distribution. Nominations closed in early September with Sitiveni Selui, ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau, Sione Tuifio Hui, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, and ‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana registered. Trader consensus shows a tightly contested field with no dominant frontrunner, reflecting the small electorate’s village-based dynamics, limited recent polling data, and absence of major campaign developments since the writ was issued. The outcome will hinge on localized voter preferences ahead of official results from the Tonga Electoral Commission.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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