João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоJoao Azevêdo 81%
Veneziano 15.7%
Nabor 4.2%
João Batista <1%
$13,148 Объем
$13,148 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Joao Azevêdo
81%
Veneziano
16%
Nabor
4%
João Batista
1%
André Gadelha
<1%
Adriano Trajano
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
<1%
Rosilene Santana
<1%
Major Fábio
<1%
Joao Azevêdo 81%
Veneziano 15.7%
Nabor 4.2%
João Batista <1%
$13,148 Объем
$13,148 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Joao Azevêdo
$8,100 Объем
81%
Veneziano
$1,822 Объем
16%
Nabor
$498 Объем
4%
João Batista
$342 Объем
1%
André Gadelha
$388 Объем
<1%
Adriano Trajano
$429 Объем
<1%
Dr. Marcelo Queiroga
$354 Объем
<1%
Rinaldo Júnior
$397 Объем
<1%
Rosilene Santana
$476 Объем
<1%
Major Fábio
$341 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
Объем
$13,148Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$13,148Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...João Azevêdo (PSB), the former governor who resigned his post in April 2026 to contest the seat, holds a clear lead in trader consensus for first place. Recent polling from late August shows him ahead with 27-32% vote intentions, supported by a broad coalition and high name recognition from two successful gubernatorial terms. Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB), the incumbent seeking re-election, follows in second with 17-25% in the same surveys. The October 4 election features ten registered candidates for two seats, with the top two vote-getters advancing; Azevêdo’s polling edge and organizational strength explain his elevated implied probability, while lower odds for names like Nabor Wanderley and Marcelo Queiroga reflect weaker current positioning in the race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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