Recent monthly data show Mexico's headline inflation moderating to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July and higher readings near 4.5% earlier in the year, with core inflation easing to 3.88%. Banxico's latest forecasts point to headline inflation averaging around 3.5% by year-end 2026 before full convergence to the 3% target in late 2027, supported by contained non-core pressures and a stable policy rate at 6.5%. Trader positioning around the 3.5–4.5% range reflects this gradual disinflation path alongside upside risks from services prices, potential USMCA trade frictions, geopolitical tensions, and food or energy volatility that could push the full-year outcome higher. The narrow spread between the leading buckets underscores uncertainty over whether sticky core components will keep the annual print above or below 4%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено4,00% – 4,49% 37%
От 3,50% до 3,99% 30.7%
3,00% до 3,49% 15.7%
4,50% до 4,99% 8%
$71,576 Объем
$71,576 Объем
7 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
4%
2,50%–2,99%
4%
3,00% до 3,49%
16%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
31%
4,00% – 4,49%
37%
4,50% до 4,99%
8%
5,00% до 5,49%
3%
5,50%+
1%
4,00% – 4,49% 37%
От 3,50% до 3,99% 30.7%
3,00% до 3,49% 15.7%
4,50% до 4,99% 8%
$71,576 Объем
$71,576 Объем
7 янв. 2027 г.
<2,50%
$1,265 Объем
4%
2,50%–2,99%
$4,965 Объем
4%
3,00% до 3,49%
$29,307 Объем
16%
От 3,50% до 3,99%
$7,160 Объем
31%
4,00% – 4,49%
$14,805 Объем
37%
4,50% до 4,99%
$5,050 Объем
8%
5,00% до 5,49%
$2,651 Объем
3%
5,50%+
$6,373 Объем
1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent monthly data show Mexico's headline inflation moderating to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July and higher readings near 4.5% earlier in the year, with core inflation easing to 3.88%. Banxico's latest forecasts point to headline inflation averaging around 3.5% by year-end 2026 before full convergence to the 3% target in late 2027, supported by contained non-core pressures and a stable policy rate at 6.5%. Trader positioning around the 3.5–4.5% range reflects this gradual disinflation path alongside upside risks from services prices, potential USMCA trade frictions, geopolitical tensions, and food or energy volatility that could push the full-year outcome higher. The narrow spread between the leading buckets underscores uncertainty over whether sticky core components will keep the annual print above or below 4%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Объем
$71,576Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent monthly data show Mexico's headline inflation moderating to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July and higher readings near 4.5% earlier in the year, with core inflation easing to 3.88%. Banxico's latest forecasts point to headline inflation averaging around 3.5% by year-end 2026 before full convergence to the 3% target in late 2027, supported by contained non-core pressures and a stable policy rate at 6.5%. Trader positioning around the 3.5–4.5% range reflects this gradual disinflation path alongside upside risks from services prices, potential USMCA trade frictions, geopolitical tensions, and food or energy volatility that could push the full-year outcome higher. The narrow spread between the leading buckets underscores uncertainty over whether sticky core components will keep the annual print above or below 4%.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Объем
$71,576Дата окончания
8 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly data show Mexico's headline inflation moderating to 3.26% year-over-year in August 2026 from 3.12% in July and higher readings near 4.5% earlier in the year, with core inflation easing to 3.88%. Banxico's latest forecasts point to headline inflation averaging around 3.5% by year-end 2026 before full convergence to the 3% target in late 2027, supported by contained non-core pressures and a stable policy rate at 6.5%. Trader positioning around the 3.5–4.5% range reflects this gradual disinflation path alongside upside risks from services prices, potential USMCA trade frictions, geopolitical tensions, and food or energy volatility that could push the full-year outcome higher. The narrow spread between the leading buckets underscores uncertainty over whether sticky core components will keep the annual print above or below 4%.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы