Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?
Сколько инакомыслящих на сентябрьском заседании ФРС?
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Объем
$23,959 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
0
14%
1
14%
2
11%
3
31%
4+
29%
3 31%
4+ 29%
0 14%
1 14%
$23,959 Объем
$23,959 Объем
16 сент. 2026 г.
0
$18,604 Объем
14%
1
$638 Объем
14%
2
$659 Объем
11%
3
$3,125 Объем
31%
4+
$932 Объем
29%
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ET
Объем
$23,959Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
The September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for September 15-16, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on September 16, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the September Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$23,959Дата окончания
16 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:01 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent above-target inflation, with July PCE at 3.7% headline and core near 3.3%, alongside supply shocks from Middle East energy risks, forms the core driver of elevated dissent expectations at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. The July 9-3 hold decision, featuring three hawkish dissents from Hammack, Kashkari, and Logan favoring an immediate 25-basis-point hike, sets a precedent for continued committee divisions under Chair Warsh. A stable labor market with unemployment around 4.1% and mixed signals on disinflation keep the outcome data-dependent, with Governor Waller noting a potential shift toward tightening if August readings disappoint. Market-implied odds reflect this uncertainty, as incoming employment and CPI data could determine whether three or more members break from the majority on the federal funds rate decision.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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