Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHow many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
3 24%
2 23.9%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 дек. 2026 г.
0
17%
1
17%
2
24%
3
24%
4+
22%
3 24%
2 23.9%
4+ 22%
1 16.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
9 дек. 2026 г.
0
$6,210 Объем
17%
1
$414 Объем
17%
2
$220 Объем
24%
3
$260 Объем
24%
4+
$253 Объем
22%
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Объем
$7,357Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
The December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on December 9, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the December Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$7,357Дата окончания
9 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 8:43 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Persistent inflation above the FOMC’s 2% target, with PCE running near 3.5% for 2026 amid energy supply shocks, combined with a stable labor market at roughly 4.3% unemployment, is driving a split committee outlook for the December 8-9 meeting. Recent votes, including a 9-3 decision in July with three hawkish dissents favoring a hike, illustrate the range of views on whether to tighten or hold the 3.50-3.75% fed funds range. Market-implied odds clustered tightly around two to four-plus dissents reflect uncertainty over incoming data and the September 15-16 decision, which could clarify the rate path versus the June SEP median of 3.8% for year-end.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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