Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a stable high-pressure regime and September climatology where average highs reach 23–26°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and peak temperatures in the afternoon, though slight model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 25–26°C as the highest temperature reflect trader caution amid historical variability in exact daily maxima and the proximity to resolution, with only limited pricing on warmer outcomes despite the consensus outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 11 сентября?
25°C 64%
26°C 32%
24°C 5%
27°C 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
64%
26°C
32%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C или выше
<1%
25°C 64%
26°C 32%
24°C 5%
27°C 2.0%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 сент. 2026 г.
21°C или ниже
$416 Объем
<1%
22°C
$147 Объем
1%
23°C
$94 Объем
2%
24°C
$238 Объем
5%
25°C
$830 Объем
64%
26°C
$246 Объем
32%
27°C
$120 Объем
2%
28°C
$82 Объем
1%
29°C
$133 Объем
1%
30°C
$108 Объем
<1%
31°C или выше
$68 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a stable high-pressure regime and September climatology where average highs reach 23–26°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and peak temperatures in the afternoon, though slight model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 25–26°C as the highest temperature reflect trader caution amid historical variability in exact daily maxima and the proximity to resolution, with only limited pricing on warmer outcomes despite the consensus outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Объем
$2,483Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a stable high-pressure regime and September climatology where average highs reach 23–26°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and peak temperatures in the afternoon, though slight model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 25–26°C as the highest temperature reflect trader caution amid historical variability in exact daily maxima and the proximity to resolution, with only limited pricing on warmer outcomes despite the consensus outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$2,483Дата окончания
11 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 9, 2026, 12:58 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from multiple sources indicate a likely daily maximum of 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 11 under clear to mostly sunny skies, northeasterly winds of 10–20 km/h, and negligible precipitation risk, consistent with a stable high-pressure regime and September climatology where average highs reach 23–26°C. These conditions favor strong daytime heating and peak temperatures in the afternoon, though slight model spread and local urban effects introduce modest uncertainty. Market-implied odds heavily weighting 25–26°C as the highest temperature reflect trader caution amid historical variability in exact daily maxima and the proximity to resolution, with only limited pricing on warmer outcomes despite the consensus outlook.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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