Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Маниле 12 сентября?
31°C 100%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$12,503 Объем
$12,503 Объем
25°C или ниже
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Да
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C или выше
Нет
31°C 100%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$12,503 Объем
$12,503 Объем
25°C или ниже
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Да
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C или выше
Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllКто определяет исход
0x69c47de9d...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Manila on September 12, 2026, reflecting consistent model guidance and early observational data showing a daily maximum in that narrow range. September climatology for the region typically features highs near 30°C under the influence of the southwest monsoon, with high humidity, scattered afternoon showers, and limited solar heating due to cloud cover from PAGASA and global forecast systems. Recent conditions, including light winds and persistent moisture, have aligned with these baselines without significant deviation. While model consensus supports this outcome, shifts in steering patterns or reduced precipitation could allow brief clearing and a push toward 32°C or higher, though current atmospheric stability makes such changes improbable before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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