Forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity, consistent with above-normal September conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C or 26°C, reflecting uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima at official stations, potential moderating effects from Bosphorus sea breezes, and minor cloud increases that could cap heat buildup. Historical norms for the date hover near 24–25°C, but recent warm anomalies and model consensus on light winds support the slim 27°C probability while underscoring how small variations in insolation or wind timing differentiate these closely priced outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Стамбуле 10 сентября?
25°C 54%
26°C 46%
27°C 6%
24°C 2.0%
$11,122 Объем
$11,122 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
54%
26°C
46%
27°C
6%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C или выше
<1%
25°C 54%
26°C 46%
27°C 6%
24°C 2.0%
$11,122 Объем
$11,122 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
22°C или ниже
$605 Объем
<1%
23°C
$637 Объем
1%
24°C
$1,192 Объем
2%
25°C
$3,353 Объем
54%
26°C
$1,884 Объем
46%
27°C
$808 Объем
6%
28°C
$308 Объем
<1%
29°C
$287 Объем
<1%
30°C
$616 Объем
<1%
31°C
$711 Объем
<1%
32°C или выше
$721 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity, consistent with above-normal September conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C or 26°C, reflecting uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima at official stations, potential moderating effects from Bosphorus sea breezes, and minor cloud increases that could cap heat buildup. Historical norms for the date hover near 24–25°C, but recent warm anomalies and model consensus on light winds support the slim 27°C probability while underscoring how small variations in insolation or wind timing differentiate these closely priced outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$11,122Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity, consistent with above-normal September conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C or 26°C, reflecting uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima at official stations, potential moderating effects from Bosphorus sea breezes, and minor cloud increases that could cap heat buildup. Historical norms for the date hover near 24–25°C, but recent warm anomalies and model consensus on light winds support the slim 27°C probability while underscoring how small variations in insolation or wind timing differentiate these closely priced outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,122Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models and agencies indicate a peak temperature near 27–28°C in Istanbul on September 10 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeast winds of 10–20 km/h, and low humidity, consistent with above-normal September conditions driven by a stable high-pressure pattern. Trader consensus heavily favors 25°C or 26°C, reflecting uncertainty over exact afternoon maxima at official stations, potential moderating effects from Bosphorus sea breezes, and minor cloud increases that could cap heat buildup. Historical norms for the date hover near 24–25°C, but recent warm anomalies and model consensus on light winds support the slim 27°C probability while underscoring how small variations in insolation or wind timing differentiate these closely priced outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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