The overwhelming market consensus on 98-99°F as Austin’s official high temperature for September 9, 2026, reflects direct observational confirmation from National Weather Service stations, including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where the maximum reached that precise range under clear skies and southerly flow. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal warmth (8–9°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 92°F) driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with no significant frontal passage or precipitation to moderate readings. Historical September extremes and recent heat-wave patterns further supported expectations near the upper 90s, while the absence of measurement revisions or station discrepancies left virtually no realistic pathways for outcomes outside this bin once data were finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 9 сентября?
98-99°F 100.0%
87°F или ниже <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$26,209 Объем
$26,209 Объем
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
98-99°F 100.0%
87°F или ниже <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$26,209 Объем
$26,209 Объем
87°F или ниже
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
100%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The overwhelming market consensus on 98-99°F as Austin’s official high temperature for September 9, 2026, reflects direct observational confirmation from National Weather Service stations, including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where the maximum reached that precise range under clear skies and southerly flow. This outcome aligned with model guidance showing above-normal warmth (8–9°F above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 92°F) driven by persistent high pressure and minimal cloud cover, with no significant frontal passage or precipitation to moderate readings. Historical September extremes and recent heat-wave patterns further supported expectations near the upper 90s, while the absence of measurement revisions or station discrepancies left virtually no realistic pathways for outcomes outside this bin once data were finalized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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