Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Shanghai's September 10 maximum will likely reach 28–29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where moderating marine influences and modest humidity prevent stronger warming. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds for 28°C and 29°C captures genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread on precipitation timing and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearing skies or southerly flow strengthening. Official station readings will resolve the market once daily extremes are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 10 сентября?
29°C 48%
28°C 39%
30°C 12%
31°C <1%
$51,134 Объем
$51,134 Объем
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
39%
29°C
48%
30°C
12%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
29°C 48%
28°C 39%
30°C 12%
31°C <1%
$51,134 Объем
$51,134 Объем
25°C или ниже
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
39%
29°C
48%
30°C
12%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles indicate Shanghai's September 10 maximum will likely reach 28–29°C amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and scattered showers that limit surface heating. These conditions align with typical early-September climatology for the region, where moderating marine influences and modest humidity prevent stronger warming. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds for 28°C and 29°C captures genuine forecast uncertainty from model spread on precipitation timing and cloud cover, while lower probabilities for 30°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of clearing skies or southerly flow strengthening. Official station readings will resolve the market once daily extremes are confirmed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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