Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum of 94°F on September 9, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed the marine layer and allowed subtropical moisture to elevate humidity. This setup produced temperatures well above the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, consistent with model guidance showing 10–20°F positive anomalies across the Bay Area. Trader consensus at 99.9% for the 92–93°F bin reflects preliminary station readings and historical analogs for similar late-summer heat events, though final resolution hinges on the precise highest reading across official downtown or airport stations. A modest revision in post-analysis data or use of an alternate measurement site remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 9 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 9 сентября?
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F или ниже <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$83,527 Объем
$83,527 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
100%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F или выше
<1%
92-93°F 100.0%
77°F или ниже <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$83,527 Объем
$83,527 Объем
9 сент. 2026 г.
77°F или ниже
$3,509 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$5,807 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$6,050 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$7,971 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$5,132 Объем
<1%
86-87°F
$6,547 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$8,804 Объем
<1%
90-91°F
$7,692 Объем
<1%
92-93°F
$9,636 Объем
100%
94-95°F
$10,531 Объем
<1%
96°F или выше
$11,849 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum of 94°F on September 9, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed the marine layer and allowed subtropical moisture to elevate humidity. This setup produced temperatures well above the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, consistent with model guidance showing 10–20°F positive anomalies across the Bay Area. Trader consensus at 99.9% for the 92–93°F bin reflects preliminary station readings and historical analogs for similar late-summer heat events, though final resolution hinges on the precise highest reading across official downtown or airport stations. A modest revision in post-analysis data or use of an alternate measurement site remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Объем
$83,527Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum of 94°F on September 9, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed the marine layer and allowed subtropical moisture to elevate humidity. This setup produced temperatures well above the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, consistent with model guidance showing 10–20°F positive anomalies across the Bay Area. Trader consensus at 99.9% for the 92–93°F bin reflects preliminary station readings and historical analogs for similar late-summer heat events, though final resolution hinges on the precise highest reading across official downtown or airport stations. A modest revision in post-analysis data or use of an alternate measurement site remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$83,527Дата окончания
9 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 7, 2026, 7:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from San Francisco International Airport recorded a maximum of 94°F on September 9, 2026, under a strong high-pressure ridge that suppressed the marine layer and allowed subtropical moisture to elevate humidity. This setup produced temperatures well above the 1991–2020 normal of 75°F, consistent with model guidance showing 10–20°F positive anomalies across the Bay Area. Trader consensus at 99.9% for the 92–93°F bin reflects preliminary station readings and historical analogs for similar late-summer heat events, though final resolution hinges on the precise highest reading across official downtown or airport stations. A modest revision in post-analysis data or use of an alternate measurement site remains the primary scenario that could shift the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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