Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Ухане 12 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Ухане 12 сентября?
31°C 100.0%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 Объем
$40,851 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
Нет
26°C
Нет
27°C
Нет
28°C
Нет
29°C
Нет
30°C
Нет
31°C
Да
32°C
Нет
33°C
Нет
34°C
Нет
35°C или выше
Нет
31°C 100.0%
25°C или ниже <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$40,851 Объем
$40,851 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
25°C или ниже
$1,245 Объем
Нет
26°C
$744 Объем
Нет
27°C
$835 Объем
Нет
28°C
$2,289 Объем
Нет
29°C
$5,755 Объем
Нет
30°C
$10,202 Объем
Нет
31°C
$8,018 Объем
Да
32°C
$5,289 Объем
Нет
33°C
$3,067 Объем
Нет
34°C
$1,145 Объем
Нет
35°C или выше
$2,260 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Объем
$40,851Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$40,851Дата окончания
12 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Real-time meteorological observations and forecast model consensus from agencies monitoring East Asian weather patterns have locked in a daily maximum of 31°C for Wuhan on September 12, driving the near-100% market-implied probability on that exact outcome. Surface station readings, satellite-derived temperatures, and numerical weather prediction runs show stable high pressure with light winds and minimal cloud cover allowing daytime heating to this precise threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. Minor variations in station siting or final official rounding could theoretically shift the recorded high, though current data streams indicate negligible risk of deviation outside the 31°C bin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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