Eurozone annual inflation for 2026, measured by the HICP over the 12-month period ending December 2026, carries a 90.5% market-implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%. Recent August 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.2%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by a jump in energy inflation to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict and higher refined fuel prices. ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, maintain a 3.0% average for 2026 while forecasting a peak near 3.6% in Q4, reflecting persistent energy pressures that outweigh softer food and core components near 2.4-2.5%. Upcoming Eurostat releases through year-end and any shifts in commodity prices or ECB communications on monetary policy could alter the path if geopolitical tensions ease materially or services disinflation accelerates faster than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГодовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
Годовая инфляция в еврозоне в 2026 году
3,1%+ 90.5%
1,0–1,2% 4.1%
2,8-3,0% 3.8%
2,5–2,7% 2.5%
$116,760 Объем
$116,760 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
<1%
1,0–1,2%
4%
1,3–1,5%
<1%
1,6–1,8%
1%
1,9–2,1%
1%
2,2–2,4%
1%
2,5–2,7%
3%
2,8-3,0%
4%
3,1%+
91%
3,1%+ 90.5%
1,0–1,2% 4.1%
2,8-3,0% 3.8%
2,5–2,7% 2.5%
$116,760 Объем
$116,760 Объем
18 янв. 2027 г.
<1,0%
$5,230 Объем
<1%
1,0–1,2%
$16,543 Объем
4%
1,3–1,5%
$16,523 Объем
<1%
1,6–1,8%
$3,677 Объем
1%
1,9–2,1%
$26,178 Объем
1%
2,2–2,4%
$5,437 Объем
1%
2,5–2,7%
$8,040 Объем
3%
2,8-3,0%
$17,984 Объем
4%
3,1%+
$17,146 Объем
91%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual inflation for 2026, measured by the HICP over the 12-month period ending December 2026, carries a 90.5% market-implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%. Recent August 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.2%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by a jump in energy inflation to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict and higher refined fuel prices. ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, maintain a 3.0% average for 2026 while forecasting a peak near 3.6% in Q4, reflecting persistent energy pressures that outweigh softer food and core components near 2.4-2.5%. Upcoming Eurostat releases through year-end and any shifts in commodity prices or ECB communications on monetary policy could alter the path if geopolitical tensions ease materially or services disinflation accelerates faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Объем
$116,760Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone annual inflation for 2026, measured by the HICP over the 12-month period ending December 2026, carries a 90.5% market-implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%. Recent August 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.2%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by a jump in energy inflation to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict and higher refined fuel prices. ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, maintain a 3.0% average for 2026 while forecasting a peak near 3.6% in Q4, reflecting persistent energy pressures that outweigh softer food and core components near 2.4-2.5%. Upcoming Eurostat releases through year-end and any shifts in commodity prices or ECB communications on monetary policy could alter the path if geopolitical tensions ease materially or services disinflation accelerates faster than expected.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Объем
$116,760Дата окончания
20 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2f5e3684c...Eurozone annual inflation for 2026, measured by the HICP over the 12-month period ending December 2026, carries a 90.5% market-implied probability of finishing at or above 3.1%. Recent August 2026 data showed headline inflation at 3.2%, up from 2.9% in July, driven primarily by a jump in energy inflation to 14.3% amid Middle East conflict and higher refined fuel prices. ECB staff projections released September 10, 2026, maintain a 3.0% average for 2026 while forecasting a peak near 3.6% in Q4, reflecting persistent energy pressures that outweigh softer food and core components near 2.4-2.5%. Upcoming Eurostat releases through year-end and any shifts in commodity prices or ECB communications on monetary policy could alter the path if geopolitical tensions ease materially or services disinflation accelerates faster than expected.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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