Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0%+ <1%
$61,116 Объем
$61,116 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
23%
2.0-2.4%
78%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3,0–3,4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4,0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 78%
≤1.9% 23%
2.5-2.9% <1%
4,0%+ <1%
$61,116 Объем
$61,116 Объем
12 фев. 2027 г.
≤1.9%
$17,276 Объем
23%
2.0-2.4%
$26,450 Объем
78%
2.5-2.9%
$11,369 Объем
1%
3,0–3,4%
$2,464 Объем
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,485 Объем
<1%
4,0%+
$2,072 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Открытие рынка: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Объем
$61,116Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Объем
$61,116Дата окончания
12 фев. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s core-core CPI, excluding fresh food and energy, has held steady near 1.9% year-over-year through August 2026 amid government utility subsidies and softening food price gains, keeping readings below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for multiple months. Trader positioning favoring a 2.0-2.4% outcome for the full-year 2026 figure reflects expectations that wage-driven services inflation and pass-through from higher import costs will lift underlying pressures in the second half, consistent with BoJ communications and recent Tokyo data showing broadening price momentum. Recent August national figures, with core-core unchanged at 1.9%, underscore the role of temporary energy relief in muting the print, while analysts anticipate acceleration once subsidies fade and domestic demand supports further gains. Market-implied odds align with this trajectory over scenarios of prolonged sub-2% readings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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