Recent polling from multiple institutes shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading Ceará’s Senate race for one of the two seats, while the contest for second place remains tight among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne benefits from alignment with the state government ticket, Wagner draws opposition voters, and high shares of undecided or blank ballots (often 15-20%) plus voters’ ability to split tickets sustain the narrow margins. With the October 4 election approaching and limited recent alliance shifts or major campaign events, traders see no decisive separation yet, keeping probabilities clustered among the top three contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛуизианн 43%
Капитан Вагнер 37%
Сид Гомес 20%
Алсидес Фернандес 5.6%
$36,440 Объем
$36,440 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Луизианн
43%
Капитан Вагнер
37%
Сид Гомес
20%
Алсидес Фернандес
6%
Лино Алвис
1%
Гильерме Теофило
<1%
Режиналдо
<1%
Катарина Матос
<1%
Луизианн 43%
Капитан Вагнер 37%
Сид Гомес 20%
Алсидес Фернандес 5.6%
$36,440 Объем
$36,440 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Луизианн
$11,611 Объем
43%
Капитан Вагнер
$14,299 Объем
37%
Сид Гомес
$4,901 Объем
20%
Алсидес Фернандес
$1,095 Объем
6%
Лино Алвис
$942 Объем
1%
Гильерме Теофило
$820 Объем
<1%
Режиналдо
$1,234 Объем
<1%
Катарина Матос
$1,538 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from multiple institutes shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading Ceará’s Senate race for one of the two seats, while the contest for second place remains tight among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne benefits from alignment with the state government ticket, Wagner draws opposition voters, and high shares of undecided or blank ballots (often 15-20%) plus voters’ ability to split tickets sustain the narrow margins. With the October 4 election approaching and limited recent alliance shifts or major campaign events, traders see no decisive separation yet, keeping probabilities clustered among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Объем
$36,440Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from multiple institutes shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading Ceará’s Senate race for one of the two seats, while the contest for second place remains tight among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne benefits from alignment with the state government ticket, Wagner draws opposition voters, and high shares of undecided or blank ballots (often 15-20%) plus voters’ ability to split tickets sustain the narrow margins. With the October 4 election approaching and limited recent alliance shifts or major campaign events, traders see no decisive separation yet, keeping probabilities clustered among the top three contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$36,440Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from multiple institutes shows Cid Gomes (PSB) consistently leading Ceará’s Senate race for one of the two seats, while the contest for second place remains tight among Capitão Wagner (União), Luizianne Lins (Rede), and Alcides Fernandes (PL). Luizianne benefits from alignment with the state government ticket, Wagner draws opposition voters, and high shares of undecided or blank ballots (often 15-20%) plus voters’ ability to split tickets sustain the narrow margins. With the October 4 election approaching and limited recent alliance shifts or major campaign events, traders see no decisive separation yet, keeping probabilities clustered among the top three contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли Сид Гомес наибольшее количество голосов на выборах в Сенат Сеары в 2026 году?
78%
Да
Получит ли Симоне Тебет второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?
38%
Да
Получит ли Умберто Коста второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в сенат Пернамбуку в 2026 году?
43%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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