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icon for Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место
Политика·Бразилия

Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место

Бенедита да Силва 66%

Марсело Кривелла 23.8%

Карлос Жорди 8%

Карлос Портиньо 4.2%

Polymarket

$46,745 Объем

Бенедита да Силва 66%

Марсело Кривелла 23.8%

Карлос Жорди 8%

Карлос Портиньо 4.2%

Polymarket

$46,745 Объем

icon for Бенедита да Силва

Бенедита да Силва

$17,333 Объем

66%

icon for Марсело Кривелла

Марсело Кривелла

$4,886 Объем

24%

icon for Карлос Жорди

Карлос Жорди

$10,132 Объем

8%

icon for Карлос Портиньо

Карлос Портиньо

$3,286 Объем

4%

icon for Педро Пауло

Педро Пауло

$2,432 Объем

2%

icon for О Клементе

О Клементе

$1,630 Объем

<1%

icon for Андре Монтейру

Андре Монтейру

$816 Объем

<1%

icon for Хелио Секко

Хелио Секко

$490 Объем

<1%

icon for Лусиано Маттос

Лусиано Маттос

$375 Объем

<1%

icon for Луис Эуженио

Луис Эуженио

$763 Объем

<1%

icon for Маркос Диас

Маркос Диас

$887 Объем

<1%

icon for Мишелли Ксавьер

Мишелли Ксавьер

$671 Объем

<1%

icon for Моника Бенисиу

Моника Бенисиу

$843 Объем

<1%

icon for Паула Фалкан

Паула Фалкан

$845 Объем

<1%

icon for Винисиус Беневидес

Винисиус Беневидес

$649 Объем

<1%

icon for Вагиньо

Вагиньо

$707 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$46,745
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Benedita da Silva (PT) leads recent polling averages for the Rio de Janeiro Senate race, reaching 15% in the latest Quaest survey (up from prior rounds) and 23% on first-preference votes, with Paraná Pesquisas showing her at 30.7% in total mentions. This positioning reflects her established name recognition as a former governor and federal deputy, plus alignment with President Lula’s coalition, which supports her path to the top spot in a contest for two seats where voters select up to two candidates. Marcelo Crivella (Republicanos) holds second place in most surveys at 8–20.5%, aided by prior mayoral visibility and a TSE ruling in August that cleared his candidacy despite prior ineligibility concerns. Other contenders including Carlos Jordy, Pedro Paulo, and Carlos Portinho remain clustered lower, with high undecided and blank/null shares (around 25–50% across polls) leaving room for late shifts before the October 2026 vote.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio de Janeiro is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$46,745
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Получит ли Марсело Кривелла второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

Получит ли Марсело Кривелла второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро в 2026 году?

57%
Да
icon for Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

Will Marcel Van Hattem win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?

53%
icon for Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?

73%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Бенедита да Силва» с 66%, за ним следует «Марсело Кривелла» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 66¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $46.7K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» — «Бенедита да Силва» с 66%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 66%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Марсело Кривелла» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Рио-де-Жанейро: 1-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.