Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because his high-visibility campaign, built on repeated challenges to Supreme Court rulings, protests against STF ministers, and legal disputes over social-media registration and funding, has sustained momentum among younger and anti-establishment voters. Augusto Cury’s earlier polling surge has moderated in recent surveys while Ronaldo Caiado maintains steadier but lower single-digit support as a conventional centre-right alternative. With Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight lead, the remaining field remains fragmented, and Santos’s consistent media presence and party mobilization in the final weeks continue to shape market pricing for the third slot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРенан Сантос 53%
Аугусто Кури 32.6%
Роналду Кайаду 12%
Ромеу Зема 1.0%
$1,283,071 Объем
$1,283,071 Объем

Ренан Сантос
53%

Аугусто Кури
33%

Роналду Кайаду
12%

Ромеу Зема
1%

Флавио Болсонару
<1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
<1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Фернандо Хаддад
<1%

Мишель Болсонару
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Камилу Сантана
<1%

Жералду Алкмин
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%

Элдер Барбалью
<1%

Пабло Марсал
<1%
Ренан Сантос 53%
Аугусто Кури 32.6%
Роналду Кайаду 12%
Ромеу Зема 1.0%
$1,283,071 Объем
$1,283,071 Объем

Ренан Сантос
53%

Аугусто Кури
33%

Роналду Кайаду
12%

Ромеу Зема
1%

Флавио Болсонару
<1%

Луис Инасиу Лула да Силва
<1%

Таркизиу де Фрейтас
<1%

Жаир Болсонару
<1%

Фернандо Хаддад
<1%

Мишель Болсонару
<1%

Эдуардо Болсонару
<1%

Ратиньо Жуниор
<1%

Камилу Сантана
<1%

Жералду Алкмин
<1%

Алду Ребелу
<1%

Эдуарду Лейте
<1%

Тереза Кристина
<1%

Элдер Барбалью
<1%

Пабло Марсал
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Renan Santos leads trader expectations for third place in Brazil’s October 4 first round because his high-visibility campaign, built on repeated challenges to Supreme Court rulings, protests against STF ministers, and legal disputes over social-media registration and funding, has sustained momentum among younger and anti-establishment voters. Augusto Cury’s earlier polling surge has moderated in recent surveys while Ronaldo Caiado maintains steadier but lower single-digit support as a conventional centre-right alternative. With Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro locked in a tight lead, the remaining field remains fragmented, and Santos’s consistent media presence and party mobilization in the final weeks continue to shape market pricing for the third slot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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