Israeli officials have signaled preparations for a potential major ground operation in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF's Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line, maintained a high tempo of targeted airstrikes against Hamas commanders rebuilding capabilities, and destroyed weapons infrastructure while expanding limited control zones. Hamas retains governance and arms in portions of the Strip outside these areas, prompting Israeli statements that force may be used to enforce disarmament and tunnel destruction. Ahead of Yom Kippur, the IDF heightened readiness across fronts amid ongoing ceasefire violations and political pressures from upcoming Israeli elections. These dynamics tie directly to trader assessments of escalation risks before any specific deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado$758,654 Vol.
31 dez 2026
31 de dezembro
10%
$758,654 Vol.
31 de dezembro
$109,023 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled preparations for a potential major ground operation in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF's Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line, maintained a high tempo of targeted airstrikes against Hamas commanders rebuilding capabilities, and destroyed weapons infrastructure while expanding limited control zones. Hamas retains governance and arms in portions of the Strip outside these areas, prompting Israeli statements that force may be used to enforce disarmament and tunnel destruction. Ahead of Yom Kippur, the IDF heightened readiness across fronts amid ongoing ceasefire violations and political pressures from upcoming Israeli elections. These dynamics tie directly to trader assessments of escalation risks before any specific deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
Volume
$758,654Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli officials have signaled preparations for a potential major ground operation in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF's Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line, maintained a high tempo of targeted airstrikes against Hamas commanders rebuilding capabilities, and destroyed weapons infrastructure while expanding limited control zones. Hamas retains governance and arms in portions of the Strip outside these areas, prompting Israeli statements that force may be used to enforce disarmament and tunnel destruction. Ahead of Yom Kippur, the IDF heightened readiness across fronts amid ongoing ceasefire violations and political pressures from upcoming Israeli elections. These dynamics tie directly to trader assessments of escalation risks before any specific deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$758,654Data de Término
1 jan 2027Mercado Aberto
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli officials have signaled preparations for a potential major ground operation in Gaza if Hamas refuses to disarm under the U.S.-backed framework established after the October 2025 ceasefire. As of mid-September 2026, the IDF's Southern Command has reinforced positions along the Yellow Line, maintained a high tempo of targeted airstrikes against Hamas commanders rebuilding capabilities, and destroyed weapons infrastructure while expanding limited control zones. Hamas retains governance and arms in portions of the Strip outside these areas, prompting Israeli statements that force may be used to enforce disarmament and tunnel destruction. Ahead of Yom Kippur, the IDF heightened readiness across fronts amid ongoing ceasefire violations and political pressures from upcoming Israeli elections. These dynamics tie directly to trader assessments of escalation risks before any specific deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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