Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, with the market’s tight distribution around 4, 5, and 6 reflecting uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout and the party’s independent run. Ra’am’s separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, its inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot, and its surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List have altered vote flows and threshold dynamics. Competition from the reunited Joint List, petitions seeking disqualification, and limited coalition openness among major Zionist parties further compress projected outcomes, keeping trader probabilities clustered until final turnout data and last-minute shifts clarify the seat total.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado5 28%
4 27%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
11%
4
27%
5
28%
6
25%
7
16%
8+
5%
5 28%
4 27%
6 24.7%
7 14.0%
NOVO
NOVO
30 nov 2026
<4
$1,118 Vol.
11%
4
$1,827 Vol.
27%
5
$1,439 Vol.
28%
6
$1,617 Vol.
25%
7
$1,127 Vol.
16%
8+
$940 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, with the market’s tight distribution around 4, 5, and 6 reflecting uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout and the party’s independent run. Ra’am’s separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, its inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot, and its surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List have altered vote flows and threshold dynamics. Competition from the reunited Joint List, petitions seeking disqualification, and limited coalition openness among major Zionist parties further compress projected outcomes, keeping trader probabilities clustered until final turnout data and last-minute shifts clarify the seat total.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Mercado Aberto: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$8,067Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, with the market’s tight distribution around 4, 5, and 6 reflecting uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout and the party’s independent run. Ra’am’s separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, its inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot, and its surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List have altered vote flows and threshold dynamics. Competition from the reunited Joint List, petitions seeking disqualification, and limited coalition openness among major Zionist parties further compress projected outcomes, keeping trader probabilities clustered until final turnout data and last-minute shifts clarify the seat total.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Arab List (Ra'am) contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Arab List (Ra'am) merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Arab List (Ra'am) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$8,067Data de Término
27 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Ra'am at 4–6 Knesset seats in the October 27 election, with the market’s tight distribution around 4, 5, and 6 reflecting uncertainty over Arab-sector turnout and the party’s independent run. Ra’am’s separation from the Southern Islamic Movement, its inclusion of Jewish candidate Yoav Segalovitz in the second slot, and its surplus-vote agreement with the Joint List have altered vote flows and threshold dynamics. Competition from the reunited Joint List, petitions seeking disqualification, and limited coalition openness among major Zionist parties further compress projected outcomes, keeping trader probabilities clustered until final turnout data and last-minute shifts clarify the seat total.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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