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icon for Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?
Política·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?

icon for Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?
Política·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

$758,664 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$758,664 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Bélgica

Bélgica

$79,101 Vol.

18%

icon for Itália

Itália

$27,850 Vol.

15%

icon for Países Baixos

Países Baixos

$62,492 Vol.

12%

icon for Nova Zelândia

Nova Zelândia

$124,487 Vol.

9%

icon for Japão

Japão

$48,986 Vol.

7%

icon for Finlândia

Finlândia

$38,545 Vol.

7%

icon for Alemanha

Alemanha

$130,083 Vol.

5%

icon for Grécia

Grécia

$46,785 Vol.

4%

icon for Áustria

Áustria

$173,410 Vol.

4%

icon for Estados Unidos

Estados Unidos

$26,627 Vol.

4%

icon for Israel

Israel

$297 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from the September 2025 wave of recognitions at the UN General Assembly, when France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood amid coordinated France-Saudi efforts to advance a two-state solution. This brought the total near 158 of 193 UN members, following earlier 2024-2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, Slovenia, and Mexico. As of September 2026, Belgium has initiated its recognition process conditional on Hamas's exclusion from governance, while holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan maintain opposition tied to bilateral negotiations and security conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include the UN Palestinian Rights Committee sessions, Palestinian legislative and presidential elections slated for late 2026 and early 2027, and ongoing Arab-Muslim statements reaffirming statehood support.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent diplomatic momentum stems from the September 2025 wave of recognitions at the UN General Assembly, when France, the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, Portugal, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, Monaco, and San Marino formally acknowledged Palestinian statehood amid coordinated France-Saudi efforts to advance a two-state solution. This brought the total near 158 of 193 UN members, following earlier 2024-2025 moves by Spain, Ireland, Norway, Slovenia, and Mexico. As of September 2026, Belgium has initiated its recognition process conditional on Hamas's exclusion from governance, while holdouts including the United States, Germany, Italy, and Japan maintain opposition tied to bilateral negotiations and security conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include the UN Palestinian Rights Committee sessions, Palestinian legislative and presidential elections slated for late 2026 and early 2027, and ongoing Arab-Muslim statements reaffirming statehood support.

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET.

An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$758,664
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Nov 5, 2025, 11:52 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Bélgica" at 18%, followed by "Itália" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" has generated $758.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" is "Bélgica" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Itália" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão a Palestina antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.