Ukrainian forces have advanced in the Lyman direction of Donetsk Oblast through Operation Vivaldi, a counteroffensive by the 3rd Army Corps targeting a Russian salient north of the city. Reports from mid-September 2026 indicate Ukrainian units reached or cleared positions in Kolodyazi, with Russian milbloggers acknowledging attempts to dislodge them and geolocated footage showing artillery strikes on Ukrainian-held areas there. These gains form part of broader efforts that have reportedly cleared dozens of square kilometers and disrupted Russian logistics. Continued Ukrainian pressure, Russian defensive responses, and any escalation in the immediate sector will shape whether control of the village is sustained or expanded before the market resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoA Ucrânia voltará a entrar em Kolodiazi até...?
$31,231 Vol.
31 de outubro
Sim
31 de dezembro
Sim
$31,231 Vol.
31 de outubro
Sim
31 de dezembro
Sim
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 7, 2026, 10:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resultado proposto: Sim
Sem contestação
Resultado final: Sim
Ukrainian forces have advanced in the Lyman direction of Donetsk Oblast through Operation Vivaldi, a counteroffensive by the 3rd Army Corps targeting a Russian salient north of the city. Reports from mid-September 2026 indicate Ukrainian units reached or cleared positions in Kolodyazi, with Russian milbloggers acknowledging attempts to dislodge them and geolocated footage showing artillery strikes on Ukrainian-held areas there. These gains form part of broader efforts that have reportedly cleared dozens of square kilometers and disrupted Russian logistics. Continued Ukrainian pressure, Russian defensive responses, and any escalation in the immediate sector will shape whether control of the village is sustained or expanded before the market resolution window closes.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado

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