Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição

icon for Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição
Mundo·Tonga

Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 20%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 16%

Sione Tuifio Hui 15%

Sitiveni Selui 13.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana 20%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala 16%

Sione Tuifio Hui 15%

Sitiveni Selui 13.0%

Polymarket
NOVO

Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana

$1,347 Vol.

20%

Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala

$151 Vol.

16%

Sione Tuifio Hui

$116 Vol.

15%

Sitiveni Selui

$142 Vol.

13%

'Aisake Hoatatau Finau

$102 Vol.

7%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election on October 8, 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution, creating an open contest in the small Niuas constituency. Five candidates from villages across the electorate—‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, Sitiveni Selui, and ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau—have registered after nominations closed in early September, with no incumbent or dominant local figure emerging. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation in a first-past-the-post system where village-level support and personal networks typically decide narrow margins. Limited polling data and the remote electorate’s modest voter base keep probabilities tightly clustered, though any late endorsements, turnout shifts, or campaign developments before polling day could consolidate backing and separate the leaders.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$1,858
Data de Término
8 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Ongo Niua 17 by-election on October 8, 2026, follows the Supreme Court voiding of the prior winner’s 2025 victory on bribery grounds tied to fish distribution, creating an open contest in the small Niuas constituency. Five candidates from villages across the electorate—‘Aminiasi Tonga Pau’u Tangimana, Paea ‘i Vaha Filimoehala, Sione Tuifio Hui, Sitiveni Selui, and ‘Aisake Hoatatau Finau—have registered after nominations closed in early September, with no incumbent or dominant local figure emerging. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation in a first-past-the-post system where village-level support and personal networks typically decide narrow margins. Limited polling data and the remote electorate’s modest voter base keep probabilities tightly clustered, though any late endorsements, turnout shifts, or campaign developments before polling day could consolidate backing and separate the leaders.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Ongo Niua 17 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Ongo Niua 17 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volume
$1,858
Data de Término
8 out 2026
Mercado Aberto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Relacionado

icon for Alvin Lafu Sika vencerá a eleição suplementar de Tongatapu 2?

Alvin Lafu Sika vencerá a eleição suplementar de Tongatapu 2?

30%
Sim
icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo vai ganhar a eleição suplementar de Vaimauga 3?

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo vai ganhar a eleição suplementar de Vaimauga 3?

73%
Sim
icon for Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

56%

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 20%, followed by "Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" is "Aminiasi Tonga Pau'u Tangimana" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Paea 'i Vaha Filimoehala" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Ongo Niua 17 Vencedor por Eleição" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.