Recent high-resolution model runs from the GFS and European ensembles show clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on September 22, supporting a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.6 °C. This consensus, reinforced by today’s 21 September observations of building high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Minor model spread around the precise peak keeps 23 °C and 26 °C as low-probability tails, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limits upside risk. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs tonight for any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais alta em Paris no dia 22 de setembro?
24°C 56%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
NOVO
$14,304 Vol.
NOVO
$14,304 Vol.
22 set 2026
19°C ou menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
8%
24°C
56%
25°C
32%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C ou mais
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
26°C 5%
NOVO
$14,304 Vol.
NOVO
$14,304 Vol.
22 set 2026
19°C ou menos
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,127 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$908 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,643 Vol.
8%
24°C
$3,988 Vol.
56%
25°C
$2,314 Vol.
32%
26°C
$1,624 Vol.
5%
27°C
$769 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
29°C ou mais
$345 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from the GFS and European ensembles show clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on September 22, supporting a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.6 °C. This consensus, reinforced by today’s 21 September observations of building high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Minor model spread around the precise peak keeps 23 °C and 26 °C as low-probability tails, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limits upside risk. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs tonight for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$14,304Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model runs from the GFS and European ensembles show clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on September 22, supporting a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.6 °C. This consensus, reinforced by today’s 21 September observations of building high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Minor model spread around the precise peak keeps 23 °C and 26 °C as low-probability tails, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limits upside risk. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs tonight for any last adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,304Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model runs from the GFS and European ensembles show clear skies and northeasterly flow over Paris on September 22, supporting a maximum temperature of 24–25 °C—well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.6 °C. This consensus, reinforced by today’s 21 September observations of building high pressure and minimal cloud cover, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward those two outcomes. Minor model spread around the precise peak keeps 23 °C and 26 °C as low-probability tails, while the absence of frontal systems or significant moisture limits upside risk. Traders will monitor the final 00 UTC and 12 UTC runs tonight for any last adjustments before resolution.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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Cuidado com os links externos.
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