Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City's afternoon high on September 22 will likely reach 24–26°C, driven by seasonal subtropical highland patterns at 2,240 m elevation, partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds limiting stronger heating. Light rain chances around 20–40% may cap peaks, yet current conditions align with September averages near 23–24°C while recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or higher reflects these short-term atmospheric dynamics and historical diurnal ranges, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations of the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta na Cidade do México em 22 de setembro?
26°C 50%
27°C ou mais 39%
25°C 11%
24°C 4%
17°C ou menos
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
50%
27°C ou mais
39%
26°C 50%
27°C ou mais 39%
25°C 11%
24°C 4%
17°C ou menos
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
11%
26°C
50%
27°C ou mais
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the GFS and ECMWF indicate Mexico City's afternoon high on September 22 will likely reach 24–26°C, driven by seasonal subtropical highland patterns at 2,240 m elevation, partly cloudy skies, and light northeast winds limiting stronger heating. Light rain chances around 20–40% may cap peaks, yet current conditions align with September averages near 23–24°C while recent model runs show modest warming potential from reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus favoring 26°C or higher reflects these short-term atmospheric dynamics and historical diurnal ranges, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations of the daily maximum.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions