Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 22, driven by persistent seasonal cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions align with historical September averages of roughly 13°C lows, though model runs show variability tied to exact timing of showers and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 15°C or higher alongside substantial shares for 13–14°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for slightly warmer or cooler boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key inputs for position adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTemperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 22 de setembro?
Temperatura mais baixa na Cidade do México em 22 de setembro?
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
5°C ou menos
30%
6°C
39%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
19%
11°C
21%
12°C
21%
13°C
29%
14°C
30%
15°C ou mais
34%
6°C 39%
7°C 39%
8°C 39%
9°C 39%
NOVO
NOVO
22 set 2026
5°C ou menos
$246 Vol.
30%
6°C
$10 Vol.
39%
7°C
$10 Vol.
39%
8°C
$10 Vol.
39%
9°C
$10 Vol.
39%
10°C
$10 Vol.
19%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
30%
15°C ou mais
$0 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 22, driven by persistent seasonal cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions align with historical September averages of roughly 13°C lows, though model runs show variability tied to exact timing of showers and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 15°C or higher alongside substantial shares for 13–14°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for slightly warmer or cooler boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key inputs for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$296Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 22, driven by persistent seasonal cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions align with historical September averages of roughly 13°C lows, though model runs show variability tied to exact timing of showers and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 15°C or higher alongside substantial shares for 13–14°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for slightly warmer or cooler boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key inputs for position adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$296Data de Término
22 set 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 20, 2026, 8:29 AM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources like the National Meteorological Service and international ensembles point to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on September 22, driven by persistent seasonal cloud cover, light rain or drizzle, and radiative cooling at the city’s 2,240 m elevation during the late rainy season. These conditions align with historical September averages of roughly 13°C lows, though model runs show variability tied to exact timing of showers and wind patterns. Trader consensus, reflected in the 46% implied probability for 15°C or higher alongside substantial shares for 13–14°C outcomes, captures uncertainty in short-range guidance and potential for slightly warmer or cooler boundary-layer conditions ahead of resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain key inputs for position adjustments.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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